The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Changchun Xidu 27%
Draw 35.8%
Lanzhou Longyuan 37.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27%
32.2%
40.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.7%
30.7%
42.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Changchun Xidu have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
Lanzhou Longyuan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Changchun Xidu than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lanzhou Longyuan than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lanzhou Longyuan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
20%
60%
Changchun Xidu - Lanzhou Longyuan Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Changchun Xidu will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Lanzhou Longyuan will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
17. Hu H. (G) 13. Wang Tianci 21. Wang H. 2. Wang Song 7. Wang Xin (C) 8. Yu Z. 6. Liu Yang 45. Yang Jingfan 29. Memet Nuryasin 10. Huang Wenzhuo 14. He Youzu
1. Zhang Jihao (G) 22. Jiang W. 42. Hu Yubo 4. Xiao Yufeng 17. Erkin Ababekri 2. Luo H. 10. Sun Xinkai 39. Chen Kerui (C) 30. Wang Lingke 7. Lu J. 19. Liu Xinyu
Substitutes
49. Feng Zijun 37. Li Jiaqi 24. Liu Jiahao 36. Liu Jiahao 38. Rechemat Quwatbek (G) 11. Sun Fei 22. Yang Xinyang (G) 3. Yangyang Ma 23. Ye-Yang Runyi 25. Zhong Junhong 18. Zhong Weihong 59. Zhou Yan
8. Abdukerim O. 55. Abdurahman A. 18. Memetimin Mewlan 9. Muhtar Ular 13. Mu Qianyu (G) 16. Wang S. 23. Yuan Z. 29. Zhao Xiaolong
Coaches
Li Bin
Huang Shibo
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Liu Xinyu (Penalty Awarded),
13', Erkin Ababekri 🟨,
31', Wang Tianci 🟨,
45', Jiang W. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Yang Jingfan ↓, Feng Zijun ↑,
57', Wang Lingke 🟨,
64', Liu Yang ↓, Zhong Weihong ↑,
67', Jiang W. ↓, Yuan Z. ↑,
67', Wang Lingke ↓, Memetimin Mewlan ↑,
76', He Youzu ↓, Sun Fei ↑,
77', Wang Xin ↓, Yangyang Ma ↑,
80', Lu J. ↓, Abdukerim O. ↑,
87', Xiao Yufeng ↓, Wang S. ↑,
87', Liu Xinyu ↓, Muhtar Ular ↑,
90', Wang S. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 11 in the zone League Two (Relegation Group: ) and 8 in the zone League Two (Relegation Group: )).
Changchun Xidu is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Lanzhou Longyuan has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Changchun Xidu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Lanzhou Longyuan has had a series of home games.
Lanzhou Longyuan could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Changchun Xidu won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).
Including home match between the teams, Changchun Xidu won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.