Match Info

Yi League - Round 9

Date: 10 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Yatai Training Base Stadium (Changchun)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	QQ Sports


	Changchun Xidu		Wuxi Wugou

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.4	3	1.78
	4	2.9	1.96
	4.08	2.92	2
	4.14	3.07	1.92
	4.02	3.06	1.91
	4	2.9	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.11 ↑ (3.35)	2.98 ↓ (3.08)	1.92 ↓ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Changchun Xidu
22.1%

Draw
30.6%

Wuxi Wugou
47.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.2%

29.6%

43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.6%

28.9%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Changchun Xidu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Changchun Xidu's form might have worsened.

Wuxi Wugou has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Changchun Xidu than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wuxi Wugou than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Changchun Xidu - Wuxi Wugou Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Hu H. (G) 14. Li Zhen 5. Wang Zihao 8. Kadir Aysan 37. Li Guihao 6. Wang Xin 10. Murat Bebet 9. Qin Wanzhun 46. Wang Shengbo 29. He Youzu 36. Zhao Ran	13. Zhu Yueqi (G) 2. Shang K. 5. Lin Jiahao 26. Gou J. 4. Liang Jinhu 16. Xu Chunqing 10. Tong Le 6. Tursunjan Ahmat 45. Lu Y. 9. Zhang Dachi 8. Tursun Qeyser
Substitutes
58. Bai Yuhang 17. Erkin Ababekri 4. Erlan Ghulaht 1. Liu Y. (G) 49. Memet Nuryasin 7. Musajan Musajan 45. Nurlan Nurzat 16. Sun Fei 42. Suo Mingwei 11. Wang Haisheng 12. Wang Y. 18. Zhang Tong	23. Dong Kaining 7. Fu Hao 56. Gao Jingchun 29. Gong Hankui 27. He Wei 36. Hu Jiaqi 1. Li Zhizhao (G) 60. Lu Jiaqiang 17. Luo H. 15. Mao Ziyu 11. Wu Linfeng 49. Zhong Weihong
Coaches
Li Bin	Kim Bong-Gil

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Wang Xin ⚽, He Youzu (A),
21', Tong Le 🟨,
35', 2 - 0, Wang Shengbo ⚽, Qin Wanzhun (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Lu Y. ↓, Gao Jingchun ↑,
46', Xu Chunqing ↓, Fu Hao ↑,
53', Gao Jingchun 🟨,
59', Zhao Ran 🟨,
65', Tong Le ↓, Hu Jiaqi ↑,
74', Zhao Ran ↓, Sun Fei ↑,
77', Tursun Qeyser ↓, Wu Linfeng ↑,
86', Shang K. ↓, Gong Hankui ↑,
89', He Youzu ↓, Memet Nuryasin ↑,
90', Wang Shengbo ↓, Nurlan Nurzat ↑,
90+4', Qin Wanzhun ↓, Erkin Ababekri ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Yi League (Promotion Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Yi League (Promotion Group: )).

Changchun Xidu has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Wuxi Wugou is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Recently, Wuxi Wugou has had a series of home games.

In this match, Wuxi Wugou is considered a favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Changchun Xidu
Chinese Yi League
06.05.25	Shanghai Port B - Changchun Xidu	0:0 ✺
02.05.25	Lanzhou Longyuan - Changchun Xidu	0:1 ✺
27.04.25	Changchun Xidu - Shandong Taishan B	2:0 ✺
13.04.25	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai - Changchun Xidu	0:0 ✺
09.04.25	Changchun Xidu - Jiangxi Lushan	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TWWTL
- Wuxi Wugou
Chinese Yi League
06.05.25	Wuxi Wugou - Hubei Istar	2:0 ✺
02.05.25	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai - Wuxi Wugou	0:3 ✺
27.04.25	Wuxi Wugou - Jiangxi Lushan	1:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
19.04.25	Wuxi Wugou - Nantong Zhiyun	2:0 ✺
Chinese Yi League
13.04.25	Wuxi Wugou - Lanzhou Longyuan	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 WWWWT

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