Match Info

ALGERIA: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 21

Date: 10 March 2023, Friday


	Chaouia		Ouargla

	1	X	2
	1.75	2.95	4.6
	1.56	3.25	5.25
	1.81	3.1	3.95
	1.74	3.09	4.73
	1.78	2.9	5
	1.75	3.2	4.95
	1.85	3.2	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (2.03)	3.1 ↑ (2.87)	4.65 ↑ (3.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chaouia
51.5%

Draw
29.1%

Ouargla
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

31.5%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

30.7%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chaouia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chaouia's performance.

Ouargla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chaouia than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chaouia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ouargla than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Chaouia - Ouargla Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Chaouia will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Ouargla will win (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chaouia: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The neighbours in a tournament table will play in a very interesting match (ranked 13 and 11).

Chaouia is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Ouargla is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Chaouia is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Chaouia won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Chaouia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Chaouia
Algerian Ligue 2
04.03.23	MO Constantine - Chaouia	3:1 ✺
24.02.23	Chaouia - Bordj Ménaïel	2:1 ✺
18.02.23	CA Batna - Chaouia	0:0 ✺
10.02.23	Chaouia - Aïn Mlila	2:3 ✺
03.02.23	Souf - Chaouia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWTLL
- IRB Ouargla
Algerian Ligue 2
04.03.23	El Eulma - Ouargla	1:0 ✺
24.02.23	Ouargla - Annaba	1:1 ✺
18.02.23	El Harrach - Ouargla	2:4 ✺
10.02.23	Ouargla - Teleghma	0:0 ✺
03.02.23	MO Constantine - Ouargla	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Algerian Ligue 2
22.10.22	Ouargla - Chaouia	0:0
23.04.22	Ouargla - Chaouia	2:0
04.01.22	Chaouia - Ouargla	2:0

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