Match Info

Matogrossense - Round 8

Date: 4 February 2026, Wednesday


	Chapada		União Rondonópolis

	1	X	2
	3.2	2.88	2.22
	3.19	2.73	2.34
	3.24	2.81	2.37	Watch
	3.2	2.7	2.3
	3.24	2.76	2.32
	3.25	2.75	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.22 ↓ (3.38)	2.77 ↓ (3.03)	2.31 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chapada
28.1%

Draw
32.7%

União Rondonópolis
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.2%

30.4%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.5%

29.6%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chapada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

União Rondonópolis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chapada than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for União Rondonópolis than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Chapada - União Rondonópolis Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Chapada (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Chapada (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Tiarinha ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
58', 1 - 1, Darlan Bispo ⚽,
67', 2 - 1, Barra ⚽,
70', 2 - 2, Alemao G. ⚽,
90+5', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Matogrossense (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

União Rondonópolis may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

União Rondonópolis is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chapada FC
Brazilian Campeonato Matogrossense
31.01.26	Luverdense - Chapada	1:0 ✺
28.01.26	Nova Mutum - Chapada	3:2 ✺
24.01.26	Chapada - Cuiabá	2:2 ✺
21.01.26	Operário Ltda - Chapada	0:2 ✺
17.01.26	Chapada - Várzea Grande	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 LLTWW
- União Rondonópolis
Brazilian Campeonato Matogrossense
31.01.26	União Rondonópolis - Operário Ltda	0:0 ✺
27.01.26	Cuiabá - União Rondonópolis	2:1 ✺
20.01.26	Várzea Grande - União Rondonópolis	0:0 ✺
17.01.26	União Rondonópolis - Primavera AC	0:0 ✺
14.01.26	União Rondonópolis - Nova Mutum	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TLTTW

Chapada - União Rondonópolis: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide