Match Info

Matogrossense - Round 7

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Passo das Emas (Lucas do Rio Verde)


	Luverdense		Chapada

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.35	5.9
	1.54	3.4	6.12
	1.57	3.41	6.32	Watch
	1.57	3.1	6.5
	1.62	3.54	5.98
	1.55	3.33	6.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.62)	3.36 ↑ (3.31)	6.19 ↑ (5.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luverdense
58.1%

Draw
27.1%

Chapada
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.2%

27.4%

16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

26.6%

15.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luverdense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Chapada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luverdense than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chapada than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Luverdense - Chapada Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Henan ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Matogrossense (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Matogrossense (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Luverdense is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Chapada has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Luverdense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Luverdense is seen as the favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luverdense EC
Brazilian Campeonato Matogrossense
28.01.26	Sport Sinop - Luverdense	0:1 ✺
21.01.26	Luverdense - Mixto	0:2 ✺
18.01.26	Nova Mutum - Luverdense	0:0 ✺
14.01.26	Várzea Grande - Luverdense	0:2 ✺
10.01.26	Luverdense - Cuiabá	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WLTWW
- Chapada FC
Brazilian Campeonato Matogrossense
28.01.26	Nova Mutum - Chapada	3:2 ✺
24.01.26	Chapada - Cuiabá	2:2 ✺
21.01.26	Operário Ltda - Chapada	0:2 ✺
17.01.26	Chapada - Várzea Grande	3:1 ✺
13.01.26	Chapada - Mixto	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 LTWWL

Luverdense - Chapada: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide