The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chapecoense U20 39.6%
Draw 27.4%
Hercílio Luz U20 33%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.4%
25.9%
26.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.1%
26.8%
25.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chapecoense U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chapecoense U20's form might have worsened.
Hercílio Luz U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hercílio Luz U20's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chapecoense U20 than the current prediction. (+9.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chapecoense U20, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hercílio Luz U20 than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hercílio Luz U20, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
33', 0 - 1, Henrique ⚽,
43', 1 - 1, Rodrigo ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
67', 1 - 2, Aparecido G. ⚽,
71', 1 - 3, Miguel Ribeiro ⚽,
90+2', 2 - 3, ⚽,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Catarinense U20 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
Hercílio Luz U20 is Qualified for Catarinense U20 (Play Offs Semi~finals)
Chapecoense U20 has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Hercílio Luz U20 is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Hercílio Luz U20 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Chapecoense U20 have a series of guest games.
Chapecoense U20 will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Chapecoense U20 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.
Watch
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