Match Info

Liga Premier Serie A - Round 10

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday


	Chapulineros de Oaxaca		Inter Playa Del Carmen

	1	X	2
	7.54	4.41	1.36	Watch
	4.4	3.62	1.68	Watch
	6.33	4	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.09 ↓ (7.54)	4.01 ↓ (4.41)	1.47 ↑ (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chapulineros de Oaxaca
15%

Draw
22.8%

Inter Playa Del Carmen
62.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.1%

20.7%

67.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.6%

19.8%

70.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chapulineros de Oaxaca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Inter Playa Del Carmen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Inter Playa Del Carmen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chapulineros de Oaxaca than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Playa Del Carmen than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Inter Playa Del Carmen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Chapulineros de Oaxaca - Inter Playa Del Carmen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
64', 2 - 0, ⚽,
67', 3 - 0, ⚽,
86', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: )).

Recent form of Chapulineros has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Playa Del Carmen is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Playa Del Carmen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Playa Del Carmen is the obvious favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chapulineros de Oaxaca
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
17.10.25	Héroes de Zaci - Chapulineros de Oaxaca	1:1 ✺
11.10.25	Chapulineros de Oaxaca - Celaya	0:0 ✺
27.09.25	Racing de Veracruz - Chapulineros de Oaxaca	2:0 ✺
20.09.25	Chapulineros de Oaxaca - Tapachula Soconusco	1:3 ✺
13.09.25	Deportiva Venados - Chapulineros de Oaxaca	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TTLLL
- Inter Playa Del Carmen
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
17.10.25	Inter Playa Del Carmen - Racing de Veracruz	0:1 ✺
03.10.25	Inter Playa Del Carmen - Deportiva Venados	0:0 ✺
28.09.25	Neza - Inter Playa Del Carmen	0:1 ✺
19.09.25	Inter Playa Del Carmen - Dragones Toluca	3:0 ✺
13.09.25	Cañoneros Marina - Inter Playa Del Carmen	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LTWWW

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