Match Info

Jupiler Pro League - Round 5

Date: 23 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Elindus Arena (Waregem)

Referee: van Damme K. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza
Bolivia	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Ecuador	DAZN
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Paraguay	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN / App
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN, DAZN UK
Uruguay	DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA
Venezuela	DAZN


	Zulte Waregem		Sint-Truidense

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.4	2.63	Watch
	2.55	3.6	2.6
	2.4	3.4	2.82	Watch
	2.6	3.47	2.78
	2.79	3.19	2.55	Watch
	2.5	3.4	2.5
	2.5	3.49	2.77	Watch
	3.05	3.4	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↓ (3.05)	3.42 ↑ (3.4)	2.62 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zulte Waregem
36.2%

Draw
27.7%

Sint-Truidense
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

27.9%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

27%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zulte Waregem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zulte Waregem's performance.

Sint-Truidense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zulte Waregem than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zulte Waregem that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sint-Truidense than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sint-Truidense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	36.4%	54.5%

Zulte Waregem - Sint Truidense Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Waregem will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Sint-Truidense will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sint-Truidense: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sint-Truidense (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - no (votes: 4 - 66.7%) .

DC - Sint-Truidense (1.53) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Sint-Truidense (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Sint-Truidense (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Sint-Truidense (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Gabriel B. (G) 4. Lemoine L. 3. Tanghe A. 31. Willen L. 12. Paugain W. 21. Nnadi T. 8. Claes T. 55. Cappelle Y. 24. Erenbjerg J. 20. Hedl T. 22. Opoku J.	16. Kokubo L. (G) 19. Patris L. 20. Van Helden R. 26. Musliu V. (C) 3. Hata T. 6. Yamamoto R. 8. Sissako A. 60. Vanwesemael R. 13. Ito R. 10. Sebaoui I. 9. Ferrari A.
Substitutes
1. Bostyn L. (G) 18. Ementa A. 11. Gavriel S. 6. Lofolomo E. 7. Mituljikic N. 19. Nyssen B. 36. Ujka S. 53. Vemba K. 9. Vossen J.	31. Benachour I. 12. Coppens J. (G) 33. Diriken A. 42. Goto K. 22. Janssens W. 18. Jukleroed S. 38. Matsuzawa K. 14. Merlen R. 5. Taniguchi S.
Coaches
Vandenbroeck S.	Vrancken W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Opoku J. 🟨,
38', Nnadi T. 🟨,
45+1', Ito R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
52', Hedl T. 🟥,
69', Sissako A. ↓, Merlen R. ↑,
69', Ferrari A. ↓, Goto K. ↑,
72', 0 - 1, Yamamoto R. ⚽, Patris L. (A),
73', Erenbjerg J. ↓, Gavriel S. ↑,
79', Willen L. ↓, Ujka S. ↑,
79', Claes T. ↓, Ementa A. ↑,
81', 0 - 2, Goto K. ⚽, Ito R. (A),
87', Patris L. ↓, Taniguchi S. ↑,
88', Nnadi T. ↓, Lofolomo E. ↑,
90+1', Ito R. ↓, Matsuzawa K. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Waregem won 2.

Waregem has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sint-Truidense is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Waregem may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Waregem: Kiilerich J. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Waregem won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 36:21. (average 1.8:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Waregem won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 25:13. (average 2.1:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zulte Waregem
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
16.08.25	Zulte Waregem - Club Brugge	0:1 ✺
10.08.25	Anderlecht - Zulte Waregem	2:3 ✺
02.08.25	Westerlo - Zulte Waregem	3:1 ✺
26.07.25	Zulte Waregem - KV Mechelen	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
19.07.25	Zulte Waregem - Norwich City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LWLTT
- Sint-Truidense VV
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
17.08.25	Sint-Truidense - RAAL La Louvière	2:1 ✺
08.08.25	Sint-Truidense - Dender EH	2:0 ✺
03.08.25	Charleroi - Sint-Truidense	1:1 ✺
27.07.25	Sint-Truidense - Gent	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
19.07.25	Al-Qadisiya - Sint-Truidense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Cup
11.01.23	Zulte Waregem - Sint-Truidense	2:0
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
27.12.22	Sint-Truidense - Zulte Waregem	2:0
17.09.22	Zulte Waregem - Sint-Truidense	0:3
02.04.22	Zulte Waregem - Sint-Truidense	0:2
07.08.21	Sint-Truidense - Zulte Waregem	1:3
13.02.21	Sint-Truidense - Zulte Waregem	1:2
19.12.20	Zulte Waregem - Sint-Truidense	0:2

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