Match Info

Jupiler Pro League - Conference League Group - Round 34

Date: 21 April 2026, Tuesday

Location: Cegeka Arena (Genk)

Referee: Laforge N. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	Sporza, Sporza


	Genk		Charleroi

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.4	4.1	Watch
	1.82	3.65	4.1	Watch
	1.88	3.76	4.37
	1.84	3.72	4.18
	1.8	3.4	4
	1.85	3.67	4.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (1.94)	3.6 ↓ (3.92)	4.17 ↑ (3.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Genk
51.3%

Draw
26.1%

Charleroi
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

24.4%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

24.4%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Genk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Charleroi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genk than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charleroi than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.3%	7.7%	0%

Genk - Charleroi Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

Users Predictions: Genk will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Genk will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Brughmans L. (G) 77. El Ouahdi Z. 3. Sadick M. 6. Smets M. 19. Medina Y. 8. Heynen B. (C) 21. Bangoura I. 10. Ito J. 38. Heymans D. 32. Adedeji-Sternberg N. 23. Bibout A.	30. Kone M. (G) 27. Blum L. 4. Ousou A. (C) 95. Keita C. 24. Nzita M. 5. Camara E. 56. Boukamir A. 3. Van Den Kerkhof K. 14. Pflucke P. 17. Bernier A. 25. Colassin A.
Substitutes
99. Erabi J. 18. Kayembe J. 44. Kongolo J. 29. Mirisola R. 24. Sattlberger N. 14. Sor Y. 7. Steuckers J. 1. Van Crombrugge H. (G) 30. Yokoyama A.	43. Benaets Q. 32. Boukamir M. 45. Cisse Y. 55. Delavallee M. (G) 23. Gaudin J. 40. Khalifi Y. 8. Romsaas J. 21. Scheidler A. 9. Szymczak F.
Coaches
Hayen N.	Kohnen M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Camara E. ⚽, Colassin A. (A),
23', Heymans D. (Penalty Awarded),
36', Keita C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', Pflucke P. ↓, Romsaas J. ↑,
62', Colassin A. ↓, Scheidler A. ↑,
63', Medina Y. ↓, Kayembe J. ↑,
63', Bibout A. ↓, Mirisola R. ↑,
63', Adedeji-Sternberg N. ↓, Yokoyama A. ↑,
66', Boukamir A. ↓, Khalifi Y. ↑,
72', Bangoura I. 🟨,
81', Bernier A. ↓, Szymczak F. ↑,
81', Blum L. ↓, Boukamir M. ↑,
83', Bangoura I. ↓, Steuckers J. ↑,
83', Ito J. ↓, Erabi J. ↑,
86', 1 - 1, Nzita M. (Own goal),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Genk won 1.

Genk has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Charleroi has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Genk has had a series of away games.

Genk might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Charleroi: Titraoui Y. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Genk: Lawal T. (Injury)

There are questionable in Charleroi: Pflucke P. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Genk won 10 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 38:25. (average 1.9:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Genk won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 23:11. (average 2.3:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Charleroi	7	6	0	1	15:7	8	18
6	Genk	8	3	3	2	16:12	4	12

Last Results with these Odds

Genk - the odds 1.94 are the expected chance of winning is 49.21%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Genk
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
18.04.26	Westerlo - Genk	1:2 ✺
12.04.26	Genk - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	0:0 ✺
03.04.26	Royal Antwerp - Genk	1:2 ✺
22.03.26	RAAL La Louvière - Genk	5:5 ✺
UEFA Europa League
19.03.26	Freiburg - Genk	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WTWTL
- SC Charleroi
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
18.04.26	Charleroi - Standard Liège	1:2 ✺
10.04.26	Charleroi - Royal Antwerp	2:1 ✺
05.04.26	Westerlo - Charleroi	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Zulte Waregem - Charleroi	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Charleroi - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
19.12.25	Charleroi - Genk	2:2
17.09.25	Genk - Charleroi	0:1
28.02.25	Charleroi - Genk	1:1
23.11.24	Genk - Charleroi	3:0
Club Friendly
06.07.24	Genk - Charleroi	3:3
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
23.02.24	Charleroi - Genk	0:1
20.08.23	Genk - Charleroi	0:0

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