The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chaves 43.5%
Draw 28.8%
Feirense 27.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49%
28.1%
23%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.9%
28.2%
23%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chaves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chaves's form might have worsened.
Feirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chaves than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chaves, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Feirense than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
66.7%
0%
Chaves - Feirense Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Chaves will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Valido J. (G) 23. Leo Alaba 34. Alves R. (C) 29. Tounkara M. 3. Romero A. 16. Yearwood D. 42. Tavares A. 10. Rodrigues A. 30. Costinha 18. Tavares W. 9. Marcos Andre
26. Altube D. (G) 2. Gustavo L. 14. Pinto P. 4. Leal A. (C) 15. Moreno D. 27. Castro T. 22. Popoola S. 77. Gui Meira 90. Luisinho 19. Guedes A. 20. Jojo
Substitutes
27. Armando Jr 4. Bruno Rodrigues 7. Esajas R. 80. Fofana M. 19. Garcia G. 88. Gudzulic M. (G) 5. Kiko 50. Lima L. 31. Moura R. (G) 17. Roberto 33. Simoes T. 13. Vazquez I.
30. Adejimi P. 7. Arthur Viana 23. de Oliveira da Silva P. H. 24. Diaby Momo 67. Isaac 3. Kaiquy 16. Lopes A. 1. Meixedo F. (G) 25. Pereira H.
Coaches
Martins V.
Nunes M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Leo Alaba 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', 1 - 0, Rodrigues A. ⚽,
64', Yearwood D. ↓, Fofana M. ↑,
64', Costinha ↓, Esajas R. ↑,
70', Gui Meira ↓, de Oliveira da Silva P. H. ↑,
70', Jojo ↓, Adejimi P. ↑,
76', Pinto P. 🟨,
81', Tavares W. ↓, Roberto ↑,
81', Rodrigues A. ↓, Garcia G. ↑,
85', Romero A. ↓, Kiko ↑,
86', Roberto 🟨,
87', Gustavo L. 🟨,
89', Castro T. ↓, Pereira H. ↑,
89', Moreno D. ↓, Arthur Viana ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chaves won 2.
Both teams are on a losing streak in recent matches.
Chaves may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Chaves will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chaves won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:24. (average 1.3:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Chaves won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.1:1.1).