Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 18

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Benfica Campus (Seixal)

Referee: Nobre A. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	ZAP
Portugal	Benfica TV


	Benfica B		Chaves

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.1	2.6
	2.45	3.2	2.72
	2.49	3.21	2.85	Watch
	2.5	3	2.63
	2.56	3.23	2.71
	2.57	3.1	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↓ (2.69)	3.14 ↓ (3.27)	2.7 ↑ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benfica B
36.7%

Draw
29.3%

Chaves
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

28.5%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

28.1%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benfica B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Chaves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica B than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chaves than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	42.9%	0%

Benfica B - Chaves Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Benfica B will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Benfica B will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
51. Voitinovicius A. (G) 58. Banjaqui D. 55. Fonseca J. 64. Oliveira G. 96. Trevisan J. 85. Ferreira M. 73. Figueiredo M. 86. Prioste D. (C) 67. Rego R. 54. Bernardes de Freitas Neto F. 74. Tome O.	23. Gudzulic M. (G) 34. Alves R. (C) 33. Simoes T. 22. Muscat Z. 20. Ktatau 8. Pinho P. 97. Joao Teixeira 19. Tiago Almeida 27. Esajas R. 30. Kusso D. 77. Reinaldo
Substitutes
83. Coletta F. 95. de Sousa T. 87. Edokpolor P. 90. Lima I. 77. Moreira G. 89. Parente T. 92. Sandahl A. (G) 91. Silva F. 94. Silva R.	44. Bikoro F. 25. Borges F. 15. Carraca 71. Joao Pedro 10. Pina R. 3. Romero A. 29. Tounkara M. 80. Ushindi V. 1. Vozinha (G)
Coaches
Verissimo N.	Martins F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+2', Ktatau 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', Bernardes de Freitas Neto F. ↓, Moreira G. ↑,
59', Banjaqui D. ↓, Lima I. ↑,
59', Trevisan J. ↓, Silva F. ↑,
60', Joao Teixeira ↓, Bikoro F. ↑,
67', Gudzulic M. 🟨,
68', Silva F. 🟨,
70', Kusso D. ↓, Carraca ↑,
70', Esajas R. ↓, Joao Pedro ↑,
71', Tome O. ↓, Parente T. ↑,
76', Fonseca J. 🟨,
82', Figueiredo M. ↓, de Sousa T. ↑,
87', Prioste D. 🟨,
90', Reinaldo 🟨,
90+2', Tiago Almeida 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 0, Fonseca J. ⚽,
90+5', Fonseca J. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Benfica B won 3.

Benfica B has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Chaves has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Chaves may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Benfica B won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:19. (average 1.3:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Benfica B won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.7:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Benfica B	6	3	1	2	7:5	2	10
16	Chaves	6	1	1	4	5:13	-8	4

Last Results with these Odds

Benfica B - the odds 2.69 are the expected chance of winning is 34.7%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benfica B
English Premier League International Cup
13.01.26	Newcastle United U21 - Benfica B	0:5 ✺
07.01.26	Chelsea U21 - Benfica B	2:6 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
05.01.26	Benfica B - Porto B	1:1 ✺
28.12.25	Académico de Viseu - Benfica B	1:2 ✺
22.12.25	Benfica B - Sporting Lisbon B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 WWTWW
- Desportivo Chaves
Portuguese Liga 2
11.01.26	Chaves - Marítimo	2:3 ✺
20.12.25	Chaves - Portimonense	0:1 ✺
12.12.25	Oliveirense - Chaves	2:3 ✺
07.12.25	Chaves - Paços de Ferreira	2:0 ✺
30.11.25	Torreense - Chaves	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
10.08.25	Chaves - Benfica B	1:1
28.02.25	Chaves - Benfica B	1:2
06.10.24	Benfica B - Chaves	1:0
25.02.22	Chaves - Benfica B	1:1
03.10.21	Benfica B - Chaves	3:1
14.02.21	Chaves - Benfica B	0:0
23.09.20	Benfica B - Chaves	3:4

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