#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+
Current Win Probability
Penafiel 29.4%
Draw 29.6%
Feirense 41%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.4%
30.5%
35%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.2%
29.8%
34.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Penafiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
Feirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Feirense's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penafiel than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Penafiel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Feirense than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Feirense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
14.3%
71.4%
14.3%
Penafiel - Feirense Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Penafiel will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Feirense will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 71.4%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
#ad
Lineups
Starting Lineups
32. Femenias J. (G) 22. Xico 4. Miguel J. (C) 33. Moreira C. 37. Davo 17. Kebe I. 88. Alves R. 8. Reko 14. Pereira B. 19. Alcaina R. 20. Santos A.
1. Meixedo F. (G) 2. Gustavo 21. Fernandes E. 4. Leal A. 20. Oliveira J. 6. Doumbia D. 8. John N. 12. Ze Ricardo 10. Ribeiro T. 11. Nketia D. 7. Antunes L. (C)
Substitutes
75. Alloh T. 3. Gustavo Fernandes 27. Negrao G. 1. Oliveira Miguel (G) 21. Pedro Sa 95. Sery J. 10. Silva J. 9. Suker H. 7. Vieira P.
34. Abou A. 26. Altube D. (G) 47. Basit A. 77. Gui Meira 9. Klimov K. 15. Miguel 22. Popoola S. 3. Robinho 5. Silva B.
Coaches
Aira J.
Costa R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Nketia D. ⚽,
18', 0 - 2, John N. ⚽,
40', John N. 🟨,
41', 1 - 2, Reko ⚽, Santos A. (A),
43', Reko 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Nketia D. ↓, Miguel ↑,
62', Davo ↓, Vieira P. ↑,
62', Pereira B. ↓, Alloh T. ↑,
74', Reko ↓, Sery J. ↑,
74', Alcaina R. ↓, Suker H. ↑,
78', John N. ↓, Popoola S. ↑,
85', Oliveira J. ↓, Basit A. ↑,
85', Kebe I. ↓, Pedro Sa ↑,
88', Ribeiro T. ↓, Gui Meira ↑,
88', Antunes L. ↓, Klimov K. ↑,
90+8', Gui Meira 🟨,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Penafiel won 1.
Recent performances by Penafiel have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Feirense is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Penafiel won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 16:20. (average 0.8:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Penafiel won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.1:0.9).
Last Results with these Odds
Penafiel - the odds 2.73 are the expected chance of winning is 34.41%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.
Feirense - the odds 2.68 are the expected chance of winning is 35.05%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
Portugal
Watch
#ad
Femenias J. (G) 
Xico 
Kebe I. 
Gustavo 
John N. 
Nketia D. 
Alloh T. 
Suker H. 
Abou A. 
Basit A. 
Klimov K. 
Welcome Package up to $2,500 Cash
