Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A - Round 16

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Complexo Desportivo Francisco Carvalho (Chaves)


	Chaves B		Brito

	1	X	2
	2.08	3.05	3.25
	2.12	3.12	3.32	Watch
	2.1	2.88	3.3
	2.11	3.04	3.36
	2.1	3	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (1.96)	3.02 ↓ (3.39)	3.31 ↓ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chaves B
42.9%

Draw
29.9%

Brito
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

26.7%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9%

27.1%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chaves B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Brito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chaves B than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brito than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Chaves B - Brito Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
88', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 and 6).

Chaves B has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Brito is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Brito may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Chaves B might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Chaves B won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Chaves B	4	3	0	1	5:4	1	9
10	Brito	4	1	0	3	4:8	-4	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Desportivo Chaves B
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
17.01.26	São Martinho - Chaves B	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Chaves B - Vianense	1:2 ✺
21.12.25	Chaves B - Tirsense	0:1 ✺
14.12.25	Bragança - Chaves B	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Limianos - Chaves B	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TLLTT
- Brito SC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
18.01.26	Brito - Limianos	4:0 ✺
11.01.26	Desportivo Monção - Brito	0:2 ✺
21.12.25	Mirandela - Brito	1:0 ✺
07.12.25	Celoricense - Brito	0:1 ✺
30.11.25	Brito - Vilaverdense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
24.08.25	Brito - Chaves B	0:0

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