Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A - Round 13

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Complexo Desportivo Francisco Carvalho (Chaves)


	Chaves B		Tirsense

	1	X	2
	2.28	3.15	2.78
	2.48	3.01	2.81	Watch
	2.38	3	2.75
	2.36	3.08	2.84
	2.45	3	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.12)	3.05 ↓ (3.3)	2.78 ↓ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chaves B
37.8%

Draw
29.7%

Tirsense
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

27.2%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

27.4%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chaves B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Tirsense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chaves B than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tirsense than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Chaves B - Tirsense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
74', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group and 5).

Chaves B has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Tirsense is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Chaves B will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Desportivo Chaves B
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
14.12.25	Bragança - Chaves B	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Limianos - Chaves B	2:2 ✺
29.11.25	Chaves B - Desportivo Monção	4:2 ✺
09.11.25	Mirandela - Chaves B	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	Chaves B - Ribeira Brava	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TTWLW
- Tirsense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
14.12.25	Tirsense - Limianos	1:0 ✺
07.12.25	Desportivo Monção - Tirsense	1:1 ✺
30.11.25	Tirsense - Mirandela	3:1 ✺
08.11.25	Ribeira Brava - Tirsense	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Tirsense - Celoricense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WTWTT

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