Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 - Round 21

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Usa	11:00	SportsEngine Play


	Chayka 2		Neftyanik Izberbash

	1	X	2
	2.16	3.49	3.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.17)	3.49 ↑ (3.3)	3.03 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chayka 2
42.9%

Draw
26.5%

Neftyanik Izberbash
30.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.2%

27.8%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

26.7%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chayka 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Neftyanik Izberbash has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chayka 2 than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neftyanik Izberbash than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Vasilenko A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
54', 2 - 0, Kuzmin I. (Penalty Awarded),
61', 2 - 1, Manapov G. ⚽,
65', Kerimov S. 🟥,
70', Mirzabekov S. 🟥,
83', 3 - 1, Syomka A. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Chayka 2 has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Neftyanik's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Chayka 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Neftyanik has had a series of away games.

Chayka 2 is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Chayka 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Izberbash	27	8	3	16	25:64	-39	27
13	FK Chayka 2	28	6	2	20	30:66	-36	20

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chayka Peschanokopskoye 2
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
21.08.26	Dynamo Makhachkala 2 - Chayka 2	0:3 ✺
15.08.26	Chayka 2 - Druzhba Maykop	1:1 ✺
01.08.26	Chayka 2 - Pobeda Khasavyurt	0:2 ✺
25.07.26	Astrakhan - Chayka 2	3:0 ✺
04.07.26	Neftyanik Izberbash - Chayka 2	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28 WTLLW
- Neftyanik Izberbash
Russian Cup
26.08.26	Druzhba Maykop - Neftyanik Izberbash	2:1 ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
22.08.26	Neftyanik Izberbash - Shakhtyor Taganrog	0:2 ✺
15.08.26	Rubin Yalta - Neftyanik Izberbash	2:1 ✺
01.08.26	Rostov 2 - Neftyanik Izberbash	5:0 ✺
Russian Cup
28.07.26	Anzhi Makhachkala - Neftyanik Izberbash	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
04.07.26	Neftyanik Izberbash - Chayka 2	1:2

Chayka 2 - Neftyanik Izberbash