Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 - Round 26

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday


	Druzhba Maykop		Neftyanik Izberbash

	1	X	2
	2.08	3.19	3.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.18)	3.19 ↓ (3.44)	3.5 ↑ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Druzhba Maykop
44.5%

Draw
29%

Neftyanik Izberbash
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

27.7%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

28.2%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Druzhba Maykop has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Neftyanik Izberbash has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Druzhba Maykop than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neftyanik Izberbash than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Druzhba Maykop - Neftyanik Izberbash Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Ashev A. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
50', 2 - 0, Ashev A. (Penalty Awarded),
71', 3 - 0, Khakhov T. ⚽,
85', 4 - 0, Konov A. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 8th and 12th).

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Druzhba holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Druzhba has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:1.

Specifically in home fixtures for Druzhba against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Maykop	24	10	6	8	30:29	1	36
12	Izberbash	25	7	2	16	21:62	-41	23

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Druzhba Maykop
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
27.09.26	Dynamo Makhachkala 2 - Druzhba Maykop	3:0 ✺
19.09.26	Druzhba Maykop - Spartak Nalchik	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Nart Cherkessk - Druzhba Maykop	0:1 ✺
Russian Cup
09.09.26	Druzhba Maykop - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	1:2 penalties ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
05.09.26	Druzhba Maykop - Angust Nazran	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LWWLW
- Neftyanik Izberbash
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
26.09.26	Neftyanik Izberbash - Nart Cherkessk	1:1 ✺
19.09.26	Neftyanik Izberbash - Astrakhan	0:0 ✺
13.09.26	Dynamo Makhachkala 2 - Neftyanik Izberbash	0:1 ✺
05.09.26	Neftyanik Izberbash - Pobeda Khasavyurt	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Chayka 2 - Neftyanik Izberbash	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian Cup
26.08.26	Druzhba Maykop - Neftyanik Izberbash	2:1

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