Match Info

Date: 24 October 2020, Saturday


	Chayka Peschanokopskoye		Nizhny Novgorod

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.5	2.05	Watch
	3.5	3.25	2.05
	3.45	3.15	1.94
	3.25	2.95	2.11
	3.55	3.25	2.19
	3.5	3	2.15	Watch
	3.52	3.24	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.41 ↑ (3.33)	3.19 ↓ (3.28)	2.09 ↓ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chayka Peschanokopskoye
27%

Draw
28.9%

Nizhny Novgorod
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.8%

28.2%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.3%

21.6%

57.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chayka Peschanokopskoye has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

The chances for Nizhny Novgorod have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chayka Peschanokopskoye than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chayka Peschanokopskoye that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nizhny Novgorod than the current prediction. (+13.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nizhny Novgorod could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Nizhny Novgorod Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Chayka Peschanokopskoye is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Nizhny Novgorod is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Chayka Peschanokopskoye could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Nizhny Novgorod will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Chayka Peschanokopskoye won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Chayka Peschanokopskoye won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chayka Peschanokopskoye
Russian FNL
17.10.20	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	3:2 ✺
13.10.20	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Orenburg	0:1 ✺
09.10.20	Spartak 2 Moscow - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	1:2 ✺
04.10.20	SKA Khabarovsk - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	0:0 ✺
27.09.20	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Veles Moscow	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 LLWTL
- FC Nizhny Novgorod
Russian Cup
21.10.20	Nizhny Novgorod - Khimki	1:2 penalties ✺
Russian FNL
17.10.20	Nizhny Novgorod - SKA Khabarovsk	1:0 ✺
13.10.20	Veles Moscow - Nizhny Novgorod	1:3 ✺
09.10.20	Nizhny Novgorod - Baltika Kaliningrad	2:1 ✺
04.10.20	Krasnodar 2 - Nizhny Novgorod	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
17.11.19	Nizhny Novgorod - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	1:2
03.08.19	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Nizhny Novgorod	0:0

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