Match Info

Date: 4 October 2020, Sunday


	Krasnodar 2		Nizhny Novgorod

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.3	1.9	Watch
	3.8	3.3	1.95
	3.45	3	2
	3.55	3.15	1.92
	3.94	3.48	1.98
	3.75	3.2	1.95	Watch
	4.2	3.52	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.78 ↑ (3.29)	3.28 ↑ (3.06)	1.94 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Krasnodar 2
24.4%

Draw
28.1%

Nizhny Novgorod
47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28%

30.1%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.8%

22.3%

56.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Krasnodar 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Nizhny Novgorod has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nizhny Novgorod's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Krasnodar 2 than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nizhny Novgorod than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nizhny Novgorod could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Krasnodar 2 - Nizhny Novgorod Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Recent matches Krasnodar 2 is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Nizhny Novgorod in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Nizhny Novgorod could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Nizhny Novgorod will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Krasnodar 2 won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Krasnodar 2 won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Krasnodar 2
Russian FNL
27.09.20	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Krasnodar 2	0:1 ✺
23.09.20	Krasnodar 2 - Orenburg	1:1 ✺
19.09.20	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Krasnodar 2	2:1 ✺
13.09.20	Krasnodar 2 - SKA Khabarovsk	4:2 ✺
09.09.20	Veles Moscow - Krasnodar 2	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WTLWT
- FC Nizhny Novgorod
Russian Cup
30.09.20	Zenit Irkutsk - Nizhny Novgorod	0:1 penalties ✺
Russian FNL
27.09.20	Nizhny Novgorod - Akron Tolyatti	3:0 ✺
23.09.20	Torpedo Moscow - Nizhny Novgorod	0:2 ✺
19.09.20	Nizhny Novgorod - Shinnik	3:0 ✺
13.09.20	Fakel - Nizhny Novgorod	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
23.10.19	Krasnodar 2 - Nizhny Novgorod	2:2
11.05.19	Nizhny Novgorod - Krasnodar 2	3:0
24.10.18	Krasnodar 2 - Nizhny Novgorod	0:2

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