Match Info

RUSSIA: Premier League - Relegation - Final

Date: 29 May 2024, Wednesday

Location: Nizhny Novgorod Stadium (Nizhny Novgorod)


	Nizhny Novgorod		Arsenal Tula

	1	X	2
	2.38	2.88	3
	2.43	3.14	3.14
	2.42	3.18	3.47
	2.25	3.1	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.18)	3.08 ↓ (3.48)	3.23 ↓ (3.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nizhny Novgorod
39.9%

Draw
30.8%

Arsenal Tula
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

28.3%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

28.1%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nizhny Novgorod has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nizhny Novgorod's form might have worsened.

Arsenal Tula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nizhny Novgorod than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal Tula than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	60%	40%

Nizhny Novgorod - Arsenal Tula Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Arsenal will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Nigmatullin A. (G) 26. Tikhiy D. 24. Gotsuk K. (C) 2. Aleksandrov V. 22. Kakkoev N. 78. Kalinski N. 18. Kuchaev K. 87. Bozhenov K. 11. Stamatov M. 19. Ermakov N. 9. Ze Turbo	80. Kokarev N. (G) 24. Korotkov A. 31. Bolshakov K. 3. Botaka-Yoboma E. 76. Sukhanov A. 13. Kaynov M. 8. Popov A. (C) 88. Makarov A. 21. Shevchenko E. 70. Geloyan I. 20. Okoronquo J.
Substitutes
88. Glushchenkov K. 21. Kalaida D. 77. Karapuzov V. 81. Kukushkin I. (G) 23. Kutateladze N. 1. Lukyanov V. (G) 70. Shnaptsev M. 17. Tikhonov M. 10. Troshechkin A. 80. Tsarukyan V. 6. Vedernikov D.	92. Barkov D. 1. Cherchesov S. (G) 71. Denisov A. 73. Khabibov A. 9. Laykin M. 36. Levashov M. (G) 6. Levin V. 10. Matsukatov A. 4. Nduka I. D. 34. Vakulich A.
Coaches
Ilic S.	Storozhuk A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
2', 0 - 1, Kaynov M. ⚽, Makarov A. (A),
8', 1 - 1, Botaka-Yoboma E. (Own goal),
17', Kalinski N. 🟨,
20', Gotsuk K. 🟨,
27', Botaka-Yoboma E. 🟨,
33', 1 - 2, Botaka-Yoboma E. ⚽, Makarov A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Botaka-Yoboma E. ↓, Nduka I. D. ↑,
49', Shevchenko E. 🟨,
55', Shevchenko E. ↓, Levin V. ↑,
61', Kuchaev K. ↓, Kutateladze N. ↑,
68', Bozhenov K. ↓, Shnaptsev M. ↑,
68', Ze Turbo ↓, Karapuzov V. ↑,
68', Aleksandrov V. ↓, Troshechkin A. ↑,
80', Kakkoev N. 🟨,
83', Korotkov A. ↓, Barkov D. ↑,
90+1', Geloyan I. ↓, Laykin M. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Nizhny Novgorod is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Arsenal is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Arsenal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Nizhny Novgorod will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Nizhny Novgorod: Maiga M. (Injury) Maradishvili K. (Injury) Zhigulev I. (Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Nizhny Novgorod won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Nizhny Novgorod won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Nizhny Novgorod
Russian Premier League
25.05.24	Krylya Sovetov - Nizhny Novgorod	1:1 ✺
20.05.24	Nizhny Novgorod - CSKA Moscow	2:6 ✺
12.05.24	Sochi - Nizhny Novgorod	6:1 ✺
05.05.24	Nizhny Novgorod - Spartak Moscow	0:0 ✺
28.04.24	Akhmat Grozny - Nizhny Novgorod	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TLLTL
- Arsenal Tula
Russian FNL
25.05.24	Shinnik - Arsenal Tula	1:0 ✺
20.05.24	Arsenal Tula - Akron Tolyatti	1:0 ✺
16.05.24	Leningradets - Arsenal Tula	1:1 ✺
11.05.24	Arsenal Tula - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1:0 ✺
04.05.24	Rodina Moscow - Arsenal Tula	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Russian Premier League
02.05.22	Arsenal Tula - Nizhny Novgorod	2:2
19.09.21	Nizhny Novgorod - Arsenal Tula	2:3

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