Match Info

ALGERIA: LIGUE 1 - ROUND 11

Date: 9 November 2022, Wednesday


	Chelghoum		MC Alger

	1	X	2
	6	3.6	1.49
	6.5	3.65	1.46
	6.4	3.6	1.48
	6.77	3.7	1.55
	7	3.4	1.5
	6.65	3.6	1.49
	6.8	3.75	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.59 ↑ (4)	3.61 ↑ (2.96)	1.5 ↓ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Chelghoum
13.8%

Draw
25.2%

MC Alger
60.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.8%

30.7%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.9%

29.6%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelghoum has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chelghoum's form might have worsened.

MC Alger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting MC Alger's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelghoum than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chelghoum, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for MC Alger than the current prediction. (-12.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for MC Alger, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.2%	3.7%	90%

Chelghoum - MC Alger Predictions

Users Predictions: MC Alger will win (72 of 80 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.43% – 96.57%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 6).

Chelghoum has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

MC Alger is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Chelghoum could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match MC Alger is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's MC Alger to win the game is with odds 1.62.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Chelghoum won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Chelghoum won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HB Chelghoum Laïd
Algerian Ligue 1
05.11.22	ES Sétif - Chelghoum	4:0 ✺
22.10.22	Chelghoum - Oran	1:2 ✺
14.10.22	Paradou - Chelghoum	2:1 ✺
08.10.22	El Bayadh - Chelghoum	1:0 ✺
02.10.22	Chelghoum - Kabylie	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- MC Alger
Algerian Ligue 1
06.11.22	MC Alger - Kabylie	1:0 ✺
21.10.22	Khenchela - MC Alger	2:0 ✺
08.10.22	Constantine - MC Alger	0:2 ✺
03.10.22	MC Alger - ASO Chlef	2:1 ✺
16.09.22	MC Alger - Magra	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Algerian Ligue 1
21.05.22	Chelghoum - MC Alger	2:0
21.01.22	MC Alger - Chelghoum	1:0

Upcoming Matches