Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL 2 - Division A Gold - Fall Season - Round 16

Date: 3 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Central Stadium (Chelyabinsk)


	Chelyabinsk		Sibir Novosibirsk

	1	X	2
	1.38	3.9	5.8
	1.41	4.05	6.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.39)	3.98 ↓ (4.3)	6.39 ↓ (7.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chelyabinsk
63.7%

Draw
22.4%

Sibir Novosibirsk
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66%

21.3%

12.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.1%

20.3%

12%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelyabinsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Sibir Novosibirsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelyabinsk than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chelyabinsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sibir Novosibirsk than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Zadiraka V. (G) 97. Goldobin N. 33. Gorbachik V. 66. Gudkov Y. 18. Kertanov K. 2. Khozin V. 63. Nikitenkov A. 11. Nosov A. 22. Pokotylo D. 20. Pomerko A. (C) 44. Samsonov A.	16. Savin A. (G) 11. Bakharev G. 9. Folmer K. 49. Karaev M. 17. Kasatkin N. 20. Laptev V. 21. Makurin A. 12. Marukhin V. 22. Narylkov S. (C) 15. Redkovich D. 19. Zapalatskiy S.
Substitutes
47. Furman K. 37. Kosyanchuk R. 70. Levin G. 90. Lyakh A. 15. Pushkarev D. 23. Rybikov N. (G) 74. Stanislavchuk E. 13. Tushin A.	67. Erokhin K. 35. Kiselev M. (G) 90. Kobyalko A. 7. Konev A. 6. Kuzmin A. 32. Medvedev A. 18. Meksh D. 10. Rozhkov N. 14. Semenenko N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Bakharev G. ⚽,
30', Khozin V. ↓, Lyakh A. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Goldobin N. ↓, Pushkarev D. ↑,
55', Samsonov A. 🟨,
57', 0 - 2, Redkovich D. ⚽,
61', Kertanov K. ↓, Kosyanchuk R. ↑,
61', Gorbachik V. ↓, Levin G. ↑,
61', Kasatkin N. ↓, Medvedev A. ↑,
80', Nosov A. ↓, Furman K. ↑,
81', Laptev V. ↓, Rozhkov N. ↑,
81', Marukhin V. ↓, Meksh D. ↑,
90+3', Folmer K. ↓, Kobyalko A. ↑,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Gold (Spring Season: ) and 9 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Silver (Spring Season: )).

Chelyabinsk is Qualified for FNL 2 ~ Division A Gold (Spring Season )

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Chelyabinsk could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Chelyabinsk is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Chelyabinsk won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Chelyabinsk
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
27.10.24	Avangard Kursk - Chelyabinsk	0:1 ✺
20.10.24	Chelyabinsk - Leningradets	0:0 ✺
12.10.24	Spartak Kostroma - Chelyabinsk	0:0 ✺
06.10.24	Chelyabinsk - Volgar Astrakhan	1:0 ✺
29.09.24	Kuban Krasnodar - Chelyabinsk	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WTTWL
- FC Sibir Novosibirsk
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
26.10.24	Veles Moscow - Sibir Novosibirsk	1:1 ✺
19.10.24	Sibir Novosibirsk - Avangard Kursk	3:0 ✺
13.10.24	Leningradets - Sibir Novosibirsk	1:1 ✺
06.10.24	Sibir Novosibirsk - Spartak Kostroma	0:0 ✺
29.09.24	Volgar Astrakhan - Sibir Novosibirsk	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 TWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
08.09.24	Sibir Novosibirsk - Chelyabinsk	2:2

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