Match Info

FNL - Round 34

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Central Stadium (Chelyabinsk)

Referee: Fedotov S. (Rus)


	Chelyabinsk		Shinnik

	1	X	2
	2.36	3.2	2.75
	2.45	3.22	3.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↓ (2.42)	3.21 ↑ (3.15)	2.9 ↓ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chelyabinsk
38.8%

Draw
29.1%

Shinnik
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

30.2%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelyabinsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Shinnik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelyabinsk than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shinnik than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Chelyabinsk - Shinnik Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
93. Tuseev I. (G) 21. Berdnikov A. 5. Gatin B. 44. Rusyaev I. 66. Gudkov Y. 18. Kertanov K. 77. Samoilov D. (C) 10. Gadzhimuradov R. 17. N'Diaye B. 70. Levin G. 75. Zhamaletdinov T.	51. Mitrov T. (G) 44. Kornyushin D. 4. Bozov N. 53. Kotin N. 5. Malyarov K. 21. Galoyan A. 15. Samoilov D. (C) 55. Lystsov V. 64. Lanin O. 11. Porokhov I. 88. Mironov D.
Substitutes
33. Agaev A. 88. Eza W. 34. Golikov D. A. (G) 11. Gongadze G. 7. Malyarov N. 72. Novikov O. (G) 14. Palkin V. 46. Pershin N. 15. Pushkarev D. 2. Zhirov A.	77. Gongapshev A. 1. Ismagilov A. (G) 62. Karpov V. 2. Kosogorov A. 17. Nikitin K. 9. Stefanovich I. 95. Vambolt D. (G)
Coaches
Pilipchuk R.	Buloychik A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Mironov D. ⚽,
13', 1 - 1, Levin G. ⚽,
20', 2 - 1, Zhamaletdinov T. ⚽,
29', Galoyan A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Bozov N. ↓, Gongapshev A. ↑,
62', Samoilov D. ↓, Nikitin K. ↑,
68', N'Diaye B. ↓, Agaev A. ↑,
68', Zhamaletdinov T. ↓, Eza W. ↑,
74', Samoilov D. ↓, Palkin V. ↑,
74', 2 - 2, Mironov D. ⚽,
77', Malyarov K. 🟨,
81', Lystsov V. 🟨,
81', Mironov D. ↓, Stefanovich I. ↑,
84', Levin G. ↓, Gongadze G. ↑,
87', Porokhov I. ↓, Kosogorov A. ↑,
90+2', Gongapshev A. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 8).

Recent form of Chelyabinsk has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Shinnik is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Chelyabinsk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Chelyabinsk won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Outrights of Russian FNL for now

Shinnik Yaroslavl: 0.78% Chelyabinsk: 0.78%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Shinnik Yaroslavl	12	3	7	2	15:13	2	16
15	Chelyabinsk	12	3	3	6	13:19	-6	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Chelyabinsk
Russian FNL
08.05.26	Rodina Moscow - Chelyabinsk	2:0 ✺
02.05.26	Chelyabinsk - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	2:0 ✺
26.04.26	Chelyabinsk - Ural	1:2 ✺
22.04.26	Arsenal Tula - Chelyabinsk	0:0 ✺
17.04.26	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Chelyabinsk	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWLTL
- Shinnik Yaroslavl
Russian FNL
11.05.26	Shinnik - Torpedo Moscow	1:1 ✺
04.05.26	Ural - Shinnik	0:1 ✺
26.04.26	Shinnik - SKA Khabarovsk	3:0 ✺
22.04.26	Fakel - Shinnik	2:2 ✺
18.04.26	Shinnik - Arsenal Tula	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
01.11.25	Shinnik - Chelyabinsk	1:0

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