The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Spartak Kostroma 44.2%
Draw 27%
Chelyabinsk 28.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
41.8%
28.2%
30%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.5%
26.5%
28.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Spartak Kostroma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
Chelyabinsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Kostroma than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelyabinsk than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
50. Shamov E. (G) 70. Chervyakov R. 8. Demchenko N. 11. Ghurtskaia D. 18. Kamilov V. 10. Karaev D. 73. Kirakosyan D. 7. Malyarov K. 96. Mokhammad A. 2. Tarasov N. 5. Zhilmostnykh D.
93. Tuseev I. (G) 5. Gatin B. 27. Gribakin I. 74. Kacorri L. 18. Kertanov K. 15. Kochiev K. 11. Miroshnichenko G. 17. N'Diaye B. 24. Pridava N. 7. Safronov I. 77. Samoilov D.
Substitutes
3. Bugriev S. 69. Chursin K. 68. Gaydash M. (G) 17. Kaptilovich D. 77. Meshcheryakov I. 6. Mohammadi N. 82. Nikiforenko O. 66. Nikiforov M. 20. Romanov M. 13. Rubtsov I.
72. Bem A. 21. Berdnikov A. 55. Borisov G. 10. Gadzhimuradov R. 99. Kamenshchikov D. 70. Levin G. 50. Lystsov V. 6. Makarov S. 31. Pereverzev M. (G) 33. Pokotylo D. 23. Rogochiy B. 29. Urvantsev M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Malyarov K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', N'Diaye B. ↓, Gadzhimuradov R. ↑,
46', Kacorri L. ↓, Urvantsev M. ↑,
46', Demchenko N. ↓, Nikiforenko O. ↑,
46', Miroshnichenko G. ↓, Kamenshchikov D. ↑,
48', 1 - 0, Ghurtskaia D. ⚽, Karaev D. (A),
61', Samoilov D. ↓, Borisov G. ↑,
63', 🟨,
64', Kamilov V. 🟨,
73', Ghurtskaia D. ↓, Mohammadi N. ↑,
73', Chervyakov R. ↓, Kaptilovich D. ↑,
76', Kirakosyan D. ↓, Bugriev S. ↑,
83', Kochiev K. ↓, Lystsov V. ↑,
85', Safronov I. 🟨,
85', 🟨,
87', Nikiforenko O. ↓, Chursin K. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spartak Kostroma won 4.
Spartak Kostroma has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Chelyabinsk shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Spartak Kostroma has recorded 4 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 15:9 (averaging 2.1:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Spartak Kostroma against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 5:2 goals (averaging 1.7:0.7 per game).
Outrights of Russian Cup for now
S. Kostroma: 0.85%
Last Results with these Odds
Chelyabinsk - the odds 2.95 are the expected chance of winning is 30.02%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.