Match Info

Regionalliga Nordost - Round 16

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Location: GGZ-Arena Zwickau (Zwickau)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	MDR Fernsehen
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV


	Zwickau		Chemnitzer

	1	X	2
	2.22	3.25	2.98
	2.17	3.40	3.02	Watch
	2.25	3.14	2.95
	2.3	3.1	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.17)	3.22 ↓ (3.4)	3.01 ↓ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zwickau
41.1%

Draw
28.5%

Chemnitzer
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

27.1%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

26.8%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zwickau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

The chances for Chemnitzer have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zwickau than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chemnitzer than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Zwickau - Chemnitzer Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Ziemer S. ⚽,
42', 2 - 0, Dobruna V. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
72', 3 - 0, Somnitz M. ⚽,
89', 4 - 0, Eixler L. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zwickau won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Chemnitzer may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Zwickau could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Zwickau won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Zwickau won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.8:1.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Zwickau - the odds 2.17 are the expected chance of winning is 42.43%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Chemnitzer - the odds 3.02 are the expected chance of winning is 30.49%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FSV Zwickau
German Regionalliga Nordost
08.11.25	Rot-Weiß Erfurt - Zwickau	2:2 ✺
01.11.25	Zwickau - Luckenwalde	3:0 ✺
26.10.25	Preussen - Zwickau	3:2 ✺
18.10.25	Zwickau - Greifswald	1:0 ✺
03.10.25	Berliner FC Dynamo - Zwickau	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TWLWL
- Chemnitzer FC
German Regionalliga Nordost
07.11.25	Chemnitzer - Altglienicke	2:2 ✺
02.11.25	Meuselwitz - Chemnitzer	1:4 ✺
25.10.25	Chemnitzer - Hertha Zehlendorf	2:1 ✺
19.10.25	Hertha Berlin II - Chemnitzer	2:0 ✺
04.10.25	Chemnitzer - Eilenburg	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Nordost
02.02.25	Zwickau - Chemnitzer	2:2
11.08.24	Chemnitzer - Zwickau	0:1
31.03.24	Chemnitzer - Zwickau	2:0
08.10.23	Zwickau - Chemnitzer	1:2
German 3 Bundesliga
01.07.20	Zwickau - Chemnitzer	2:1
06.12.19	Chemnitzer - Zwickau	2:2
16.12.17	Zwickau - Chemnitzer	3:2

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