Match Info

Regionalliga Nordost - Round 18

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday


	Greifswald		Chemnitzer

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.4	3.2
	2.24	3.5	2.99
	2.04	3.52	3.19
	2.05	3.34	3.19
	2.22	3.5	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.25)	3.45 ↑ (3.31)	3.09 ↑ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Greifswald
43.5%

Draw
26.7%

Chemnitzer
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

27.6%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

26.7%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Greifswald has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Chemnitzer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Greifswald than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chemnitzer than the current prediction. (+1%)

Greifswald - Chemnitzer Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Huther M. K. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Greifswald won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Greifswald may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Greifswald won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.7:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Greifswald won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.3:0.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Greifswald - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 40.54%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Greifswalder FC
German Regionalliga Nordost
30.11.25	Greifswald - Hertha Zehlendorf	1:1 ✺
21.11.25	Lokomotive Leipzig - Greifswald	3:0 ✺
09.11.25	Greifswald - Eilenburg	2:1 ✺
01.11.25	Altglienicke - Greifswald	1:2 ✺
25.10.25	Greifswald - Carl Zeiss Jena	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 TLWWT
- Chemnitzer FC
German Regionalliga Nordost
28.11.25	Chemnitzer - Berliner FC Dynamo	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Zwickau - Chemnitzer	4:0 ✺
07.11.25	Chemnitzer - Altglienicke	2:2 ✺
02.11.25	Meuselwitz - Chemnitzer	1:4 ✺
25.10.25	Chemnitzer - Hertha Zehlendorf	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Nordost
27.07.25	Chemnitzer - Greifswald	1:0
29.03.25	Chemnitzer - Greifswald	2:2
28.09.24	Greifswald - Chemnitzer	1:1
03.02.24	Greifswald - Chemnitzer	0:0
16.08.23	Chemnitzer - Greifswald	1:2
05.02.23	Chemnitzer - Greifswald	2:0
14.08.22	Greifswald - Chemnitzer	0:0

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