Match Info

Regionalliga Nordost - Round 33

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	MDR Fernsehen
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV


	Chemnitzer		Zwickau

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.45	2.52
	2.4	3.4	2.45
	2.44	3.44	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↓ (2.45)	3.43 ↓ (3.48)	2.47 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chemnitzer
37.1%

Draw
26.3%

Zwickau
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

26.2%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

25.9%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chemnitzer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Zwickau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chemnitzer than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zwickau than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Chemnitzer - Zwickau Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 2)
52', 1 - 0, Walther N. ⚽,
54', 1 - 1, Prasse L. ⚽,
58', 2 - 1, Stockinger T. ⚽,
71', 2 - 2, Zimmermann M. ⚽,
88', 3 - 2, Muller F. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 and 3).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chemnitzer won 2.

In recent matches, Chemnitzer has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Zwickau is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Chemnitzer won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 1.2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Chemnitzer won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.2:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Chemnitzer	11	8	2	1	25:5	20	26
10	Zwickau	11	4	3	4	13:17	-4	15

Last Results with these Odds

Zwickau - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 36.54%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chemnitzer FC
German Regionalliga Nordost
03.05.26	Altglienicke - Chemnitzer	1:2 ✺
26.04.26	Chemnitzer - Meuselwitz	3:2 ✺
17.04.26	Hertha Zehlendorf - Chemnitzer	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Chemnitzer - Hertha Berlin II	0:1 ✺
08.04.26	Preussen - Chemnitzer	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWWLL
- FSV Zwickau
German Regionalliga Nordost
03.05.26	Zwickau - Rot-Weiß Erfurt	2:1 ✺
26.04.26	Luckenwalde - Zwickau	0:1 ✺
17.04.26	Zwickau - Preussen	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Greifswald - Zwickau	1:2 ✺
08.04.26	Carl Zeiss Jena - Zwickau	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Nordost
22.11.25	Zwickau - Chemnitzer	4:0
02.02.25	Zwickau - Chemnitzer	2:2
11.08.24	Chemnitzer - Zwickau	0:1
31.03.24	Chemnitzer - Zwickau	2:0
08.10.23	Zwickau - Chemnitzer	1:2
German 3 Bundesliga
01.07.20	Zwickau - Chemnitzer	2:1
06.12.19	Chemnitzer - Zwickau	2:2

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