Match Info

Regionalliga Nordost - Round 32

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: GGZ-Arena Zwickau (Zwickau)


	Zwickau		Rot-Weiß Erfurt

	1	X	2
	2.42	3.6	2.48
	2.45	3.75	2.54
	2.49	3.43	2.54
	2.4	3.3	2.5
	2.4	3.45	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↓ (2.46)	3.51 ↑ (3.38)	2.5 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Zwickau
37.5%

Draw
26%

Rot-Weiß Erfurt
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

27.1%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

27.2%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zwickau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Rot-Weiß Erfurt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zwickau than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rot-Weiß Erfurt than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Zwickau - Rot Weiß Erfurt Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
47', 0 - 1, Ugondu O. C. ⚽,
64', Martens T. 🟥,
78', Schwarz T. 🟨,
79', 1 - 1, Prasse L. (Penalty Awarded),
82', 2 - 1, Zimmermann M. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zwickau won 2.

Zwickau is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Rot-Weiß Erfurt has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Zwickau may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Zwickau won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 25:18. (average 2.3:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Zwickau won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:5. (average 2.5:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Erfurt	11	8	3	0	36:11	25	27
10	Zwickau	11	4	3	4	13:17	-4	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FSV Zwickau
German Regionalliga Nordost
26.04.26	Luckenwalde - Zwickau	0:1 ✺
17.04.26	Zwickau - Preussen	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Greifswald - Zwickau	1:2 ✺
08.04.26	Carl Zeiss Jena - Zwickau	5:1 ✺
05.04.26	Zwickau - Berliner FC Dynamo	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWLT
- Rot-Weiß Erfurt
German Regionalliga Nordost
25.04.26	Rot-Weiß Erfurt - Eilenburg	3:3 ✺
19.04.26	Meuselwitz - Rot-Weiß Erfurt	0:3 ✺
15.04.26	Rot-Weiß Erfurt - Altglienicke	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Rot-Weiß Erfurt - Babelsberg	4:2 ✺
04.04.26	Lokomotive Leipzig - Rot-Weiß Erfurt	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Nordost
08.11.25	Rot-Weiß Erfurt - Zwickau	2:2
26.03.25	Zwickau - Rot-Weiß Erfurt	3:2
23.08.24	Rot-Weiß Erfurt - Zwickau	4:2
17.02.24	Zwickau - Rot-Weiß Erfurt	5:0
27.08.23	Rot-Weiß Erfurt - Zwickau	4:1
Club Friendly
10.07.19	Rot-Weiß Erfurt - Zwickau	1:3
German 3 Bundesliga
04.02.18	Rot-Weiß Erfurt - Zwickau	0:3

Upcoming Matches