Match Info

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday


	Cheongju		Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.1	2.45	Watch
	2.62	3.1	2.52
	2.73	3.35	2.62
	2.66	3.28	2.56	Watch
	2.65	3.15	2.55
	2.53	3.14	2.47	Watch
	2.6	3.1	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↓ (2.65)	3.17 ↓ (3.26)	2.53 ↓ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cheongju
35%

Draw
28.9%

Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

28.7%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

29.2%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cheongju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheongju than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Cheongju - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 11th and 10th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cheongju won 0.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Cheongju has recorded 2 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:13 (averaging 1:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Cheongju against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 2:4 goals (averaging 0.4:0.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Seongnam	25	7	10	8	28:30	-2	31
11	Cheongju	26	5	14	7	31:41	-10	29

Last Results with these Odds

Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - the odds 2.59 are the expected chance of winning is 36.08%, but this team recently wins 17% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cheongju FC
South Korean K-League 2
20.09.26	Ansan Greeners - Cheongju	2:3 ✺
12.09.26	Chungnam Asan - Cheongju	0:1 ✺
04.09.26	Cheongju - Seoul E-Land	0:2 ✺
29.08.26	Hwaseong - Cheongju	2:1 ✺
23.08.26	Cheongju - Gyeongnam	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWLLT
- Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma
South Korean K-League 2
20.09.26	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Hwaseong	2:2 ✺
13.09.26	Gyeongnam - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Gimpo - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Seoul E-Land	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Ansan Greeners - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 2
08.03.26	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Cheongju	2:2
14.09.25	Cheongju - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	0:1
14.06.25	Cheongju - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	0:1
03.03.25	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Cheongju	1:1
29.09.24	Cheongju - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	1:1
12.08.24	Cheongju - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	1:1
South Korean Cup
19.06.24	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Cheongju	2:1 penalties

Cheongju - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide