Match Info

K League 2 - Round 26

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Changwon Football Centre Stadium (Changwon)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-korea	Coupang Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	K League TV


	Gyeongnam		Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.20	2.40	Watch
	2.75	3.10	2.30
	2.65	3.00	2.45
	3.16	3.32	2.40
	2.82	3.19	2.52	Watch
	3.00	3.25	2.35
	2.91	3.08	2.32	Watch
	2.80	3.15	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↑ (2.8)	3.16 ↓ (3.17)	2.39 ↓ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gyeongnam
32.3%

Draw
29.2%

Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

29.5%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

29.4%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gyeongnam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gyeongnam than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Gyeongnam - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Lee Ki-Hyun (G) 24. Yun Il-Lok 22. Kim Hyeong-Won (C) 39. Lucao 30. Jeong Hyeon-wook 23. Kwon Gi-Pyo 44. Kim Jung-Hyeon 77. Kim Ha-min 10. Mbah C. 90. Kim Hyeon-oh 66. Cho Sang-Jun	1. Lee Kwang-Yeon (G) 27. Kwon Byeong-jun 14. Elionay 4. Venicio (C) 22. Jung Seung-Yong 8. Lee Jeong-Bin 23. You Ju-An 36. Lee Jae-Wook 52. Fujimori R. 90. Jeon M. 9. Rodrigo Angelotti
Substitutes
21. Cho Jin-Hyuk 70. Felipe Fonseca 29. Karadzic A. 28. Kim Jun-Ho 17. Kim Kyu-min 31. Kim Tae-Hoon (G) 8. Lee Chan-Dong 20. Lee Gyu-Baeg 71. Lee Heon-Jae	7. Hong Chang-Beom 13. Hong S. 2. Hwang Seok-Ki 28. Joung Myung-jae (G) 35. Kim Ji-hyuk 18. Kim Min-jae 66. Kim Y. 17. Park Byeong-gyu 5. Yu Sun
Coaches
Bae Sung-jae .	Kim Hae-Woon

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Kwon Gi-Pyo 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Fujimori R. ↓, Hwang Seok-Ki ↑,
46', Rodrigo Angelotti ↓, Kim Ji-hyuk ↑,
46', Cho Sang-Jun ↓, Cho Jin-Hyuk ↑,
61', Mbah C. ↓, Lee Heon-Jae ↑,
70', Kwon Byeong-jun ↓, Hong Chang-Beom ↑,
70', 1 - 0, Kim Hyeon-oh (Penalty Awarded),
78', Venicio 🟨,
79', Lee Jae-Wook ↓, Park Byeong-gyu ↑,
79', Lee Jeong-Bin ↓, Hong S. ↑,
90', Kwon Gi-Pyo ↓, Kim Kyu-min ↑,
90', Kim Jung-Hyeon ↓, Lee Chan-Dong ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gyeongnam won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Seongnam may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Seongnam has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gyeongnam won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 30:23. (average 1.5:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Gyeongnam won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.3:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Gyeongnam	25	8	10	7	31:30	1	34
10	Seongnam	25	7	10	8	28:30	-2	31

Last Results with these Odds

Gyeongnam - the odds 2.8 are the expected chance of winning is 33.35%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - the odds 2.51 are the expected chance of winning is 37.2%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gyeongnam FC
South Korean K-League 2
29.08.26	Gyeongnam - Paju Frontier	1:0 ✺
23.08.26	Cheongju - Gyeongnam	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Gimhae - Gyeongnam	1:1 ✺
07.08.26	Gyeongnam - Daegu	0:1 ✺
02.08.26	Gimpo - Gyeongnam	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WTTLT
- Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma
South Korean K-League 2
06.09.26	Gimpo - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Seoul E-Land	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Ansan Greeners - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	1:2 ✺
South Korean Cup
19.08.26	Gangwon - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	1:0 penalties ✺
South Korean K-League 2
16.08.26	Paju Frontier - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 2
17.05.26	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Gyeongnam	1:1
19.10.25	Gyeongnam - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	0:1
23.08.25	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Gyeongnam	2:1
12.04.25	Gyeongnam - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	0:1
27.10.24	Gyeongnam - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	5:1
08.07.24	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Gyeongnam	1:4
12.05.24	Gyeongnam - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	1:2

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