Match Info

K League 2 - Round 27

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Tancheon Stadium (Seongnam)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-korea	Coupang Play
World	K League TV


	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma		Hwaseong

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.1	2.35	Watch
	2.60	3.10	2.45
	2.72	3.1	2.42
	2.94	3.31	2.57
	2.76	3.28	2.52	Watch
	2.8	3.25	2.55
	2.83	3.24	2.46	Watch
	2.7	3.15	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.71)	3.19 ↓ (3.29)	2.47 ↓ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma
33.5%

Draw
29%

Hwaseong
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

28.4%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

28.6%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Hwaseong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hwaseong than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	60%	40%

Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Hwaseong Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Hwaseong will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lee Kwang-Yeon (G) 23. You Ju-An 20. Lee Sang-Min (C) 4. Venicio 2. Hwang Seok-Ki 22. Jung Seung-Yong 8. Lee Jeong-Bin 14. Elionay 16. Ryu Jun-sun 32. Yun Min-Ho 90. Jeon M.	1. Kim S. (G) 15. Vojnovic A. 97. Lee Rae-Jun 2. Lim C. 22. Kim D. 5. Yang Si-Hoo 92. Lee Jong-Sung (C) 24. Choi Ye-Hoon 11. Pllana L. 90. Ilyuchenko S. 7. Jegal Jae-Min
Substitutes
7. Hong Chang-Beom 28. Joung Myung-jae (G) 35. Kim Ji-hyuk 18. Kim Min-jae 66. Kim Y. 27. Kwon Byeong-jun 17. Park Byeong-gyu 9. Rodrigo Angelotti 3. Yoo Min-Jun	16. Choi Myung-Hee 10. Demethryus 44. Ham Sun-Woo 66. Jeong Y. 8. Jeon S. 14. Kim Byung-Oh 79. Lim Byeong-hun 38. Park E. (G) 17. Park Kyung-Min
Coaches
Kim Hae-Woon	Cha Du-Ri

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Ilyuchenko S. ⚽, Jegal Jae-Min (A),
11', 1 - 1, You Ju-An ⚽,
15', Lim C. 🟨,
16', 2 - 1, Elionay ⚽, Jung Seung-Yong (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Yang Si-Hoo 🟨,
58', Hwang Seok-Ki ↓, Kwon Byeong-jun ↑,
58', Jung Seung-Yong ↓, Hong Chang-Beom ↑,
65', Pllana L. (Penalty Awarded),
71', Yang Si-Hoo ↓, Jeon S. ↑,
71', Yun Min-Ho ↓, Kim Ji-hyuk ↑,
80', Choi Ye-Hoon ↓, Park Kyung-Min ↑,
81', Jegal Jae-Min ↓, Demethryus ↑,
81', Lee Jeong-Bin ↓, Park Byeong-gyu ↑,
81', Ryu Jun-sun ↓, Kim Y. ↑,
87', Pllana L. ↓, Lim Byeong-hun ↑,
90+5', 2 - 2, Lee Rae-Jun ⚽,

Preview

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 10th and 5th in the Promotion ~ K League 2 Playoffs).

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Seongnam may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Both teams have recently been through a demanding run of away matches.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Seongnam has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 6:2 (averaging 1.5:0.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Seongnam against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:0 goals (averaging 1.5:0 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Hwaseong	26	12	8	6	41:27	14	44
10	Seongnam	25	7	10	8	28:30	-2	31

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma
South Korean K-League 2
13.09.26	Gyeongnam - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Gimpo - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Seoul E-Land	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Ansan Greeners - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	1:2 ✺
South Korean Cup
19.08.26	Gangwon - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWTWL
- Hwaseong FC
South Korean K-League 2
12.09.26	Ansan Greeners - Hwaseong	0:2 ✺
05.09.26	Cheonan City - Hwaseong	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Hwaseong - Cheongju	2:1 ✺
23.08.26	Jeonnam Dragons - Hwaseong	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	Busan I Park - Hwaseong	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 2
04.04.26	Hwaseong - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	1:3
25.10.25	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Hwaseong	1:0
28.06.25	Hwaseong - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	1:0
23.02.25	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Hwaseong	2:0

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