The best margin for this event is 12.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cherepovets 35.5%
Draw 29.1%
Dynamo Vologda 35.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.4%
29.3%
34.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.7%
29.6%
34%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cherepovets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
Dynamo Vologda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cherepovets than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Vologda than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Cherepovets - Dynamo Vologda Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
69', 1 - 0, Antsiferov I. ⚽,
83', 1 - 1, Burlakov M. ⚽,
88', 1 - 2, Kireev N. ⚽,
90+4', 🟥,
90+5', 🟥,
Preview
A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8th and 11th).
Cherepovets has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Dynamo Vologda has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Dynamo Vologda could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Cherepovets has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:6 (averaging 0.5:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Cherepovets against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 0:3 goals (averaging 0:1.5 per game).
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