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Current Win Probability
Cherepovets 55.2%
Draw 22.8%
Zvezda St. Petersburg 22%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.6%
25.2%
33.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.1%
24.3%
31.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cherepovets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cherepovets's performance.
Zvezda St. Petersburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zvezda St. Petersburg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cherepovets than the current prediction. (-12.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cherepovets that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zvezda St. Petersburg than the current prediction. (+9.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zvezda St. Petersburg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Cherepovets - Zvezda St. Petersburg Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
54', 0 - 1, Vislevskiy D. ⚽,
76', 0 - 2, Kopitets M. ⚽,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 and 10).
Recent form of Cherepovets has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Zvezda SP's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
In this match, Cherepovets is considered a favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Cherepovets won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:7. (average 1.7:2.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Cherepovets won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).
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