Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2 - Round 11

Date: 6 June 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Zvezda St. Petersburg		Iskra Smolensk

	1	X	2
	1.59	3.72	4.93
	1.72	3.60	3.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.8)	3.66 ↑ (3.48)	4.37 ↑ (3.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zvezda St. Petersburg
54.6%

Draw
24.7%

Iskra Smolensk
20.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.5%

26.1%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

25.2%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zvezda St. Petersburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Iskra Smolensk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zvezda St. Petersburg than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iskra Smolensk than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Zvezda St. Petersburg - Iskra Smolensk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 1 - 0, Goryianov I. ⚽,
56', 1 - 1, Vasiliev M. (Penalty Awarded),
90', Sabirov R. 🟥,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 12 and 13).

Zvezda SP is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Iskra has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Zvezda SP may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Zvezda SP has had a series of away games.

In this match, Zvezda SP is a strong favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Zvezda St. Peterburg	27	7	9	11	33:47	-14	30
14	Iskra Smolensk	27	6	7	14	26:52	-26	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zvezda St. Petersburg
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
03.06.26	Zvezda St. Petersburg - Irkutsk	1:1 ✺
31.05.26	Murom - Zvezda St. Petersburg	3:0 ✺
24.05.26	Luki-Energiya - Zvezda St. Petersburg	3:0 ✺
10.05.26	Torpedo Vladimir - Zvezda St. Petersburg	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Dynamo Vologda - Zvezda St. Petersburg	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TLLTT
- Iskra Smolensk
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
30.05.26	Iskra Smolensk - Torpedo Vladimir	0:1 ✺
24.05.26	Irkutsk - Iskra Smolensk	2:1 ✺
16.05.26	Iskra Smolensk - Dynamo Vologda	2:1 ✺
10.05.26	Baltika 2 - Iskra Smolensk	4:1 ✺
02.05.26	Iskra Smolensk - Yenisey 2	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LLWLW

Zvezda St. Petersburg - Iskra Smolensk