Match Info

BULGARIA: VTORA LIGA - ROUND 12

Date: 3 October 2023, Tuesday


	Chernomorets Burgas		Lovech

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.1	3.3	Watch
	2.01	3	3.55
	2.1	3.1	3
	1.96	3.15	3.64	Watch
	2.01	3.15	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.62)	3.1 ↑ (2.87)	3.4 ↑ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chernomorets Burgas
44.3%

Draw
29.1%

Lovech
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

31.4%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

32.8%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chernomorets Burgas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chernomorets Burgas's performance.

Lovech has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lovech might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chernomorets Burgas than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chernomorets Burgas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lovech than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lovech could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	12.5%	0%

Chernomorets Burgas - Lovech Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Chernomorets Burgas will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chernomorets Burgas: 64.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Todorov D. (G) 17. Chavorski T. 2. Dimitrov M. 23. Gelovani O. 5. Genchev P. 33. Gospodinov G. 30. Ivanov D. 66. Mantarov S. 22. Patev P. (C) 9. Petkov Z. 19. Zhekov D.	1. Bozhev A. (G) 11. Abdulganiyu S. 3. Angelov A. 8. Ignatov E. 16. Ivanov I. 21. Kapitanov I. (C) 15. Marinov R. 5. Minkov M. 4. Staykov G. 14. Tashev G. 7. Zhabov P.
Substitutes
7. Angelov F. 11. Cabanelas D. 90. Georgiev H. 8. Gyuzelev V. 37. Kholod A. 4. Kizhev S. 38. Peychev P. 99. Sheytanov M. (G) 88. Slavov V.	17. Bucci K. 12. Georgiev D. 9. Georgiev G. 19. Nankov V. 23. Penev I. 99. Simeonov S. (G) 34. Vasilev V.

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 12 and 13).

Recent matches Chernomorets Burgas is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Litex is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Chernomorets Burgas won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Chernomorets Burgas won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chernomorets Burgas
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
27.09.23	Chernomorets Balchik - Chernomorets Burgas	0:0 ✺
23.09.23	Chernomorets Burgas - Montana	0:1 ✺
17.09.23	Strumska Slava Radomir - Chernomorets Burgas	2:1 ✺
Bulgarian Cup
13.09.23	Sevlievo - Chernomorets Burgas	1:3 ✺
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
04.09.23	Chernomorets Burgas - Dobrudzha Dobrich	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TLLWW
- FC Lovech
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
29.09.23	Lovech - Yantra Gabrovo	0:0 ✺
23.09.23	Sportist Svoge - Lovech	0:1 ✺
18.09.23	Lovech - CSKA 1948 Sofia II	3:0 ✺
Bulgarian Cup
06.09.23	Svetkavitsa Targovishte - Lovech	1:4 ✺
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
01.09.23	Spartak Pleven - Lovech	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Parva Liga
04.12.13	Lovech - Chernomorets Burgas	3:1
31.08.13	Chernomorets Burgas - Lovech	0:0
25.05.13	Chernomorets Burgas - Lovech	0:0
08.12.12	Lovech - Chernomorets Burgas	1:0
05.05.12	Chernomorets Burgas - Lovech	1:1

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