The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sevlievo 33.9%
Draw 28.8%
Chernomorets Burgas 37.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.9%
28.5%
36.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.1%
28.7%
36.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sevlievo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
Chernomorets Burgas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sevlievo than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chernomorets Burgas than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Sevlievo - Chernomorets Burgas Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ganev G. (G) 11. Ahmed-Nur A. 23. Banev M. 31. Dimitrov A. 33. Donkov T. 5. Ganev P. 6. Karagiannis C. 45. Makaveev S. 55. Minkov M. 93. Petrov D. 3. Tsonev M.
78. Altanov D. (G) 4. Avramov D. 6. Dimitrov A. 11. Dobrev K. 3. Drame Y. 10. Kostadinov D. 23. Piplica Z. 96. Sadetinov D. 15. Slavov S. 22. Stefanov S. 30. Zhelyazkov N.
Substitutes
76. Hristov R. (G) 83. Penev I. 18. Tsvetanov V. 16. Yankov N.
13. Correia 5. Genchev P. 77. Hamdiev O. 99. Ivanov J. 12. Kaishev M. (G) 32. Kostenski R. 19. Pavlov D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, ⚽,
28', 🟨,
30', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
49', 🟨,
56', 2 - 1, ⚽,
64', 2 - 2, ⚽,
88', 🟨,
89', 3 - 2, ⚽,
90+1', 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 6).
Sevlievo is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Chernomorets Burgas has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sevlievo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
Including home match between the teams, Sevlievo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.