Match Info

BULGARIA: Vtora liga - Round 21

Date: 8 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadion Pleven (Pleven)


	Spartak Pleven		Lovech

	1	X	2
	1.64	3.2	5.6
	1.6	3.21	5.83
	1.61	3.3	6.16	Watch
	1.57	3.3	6.3	Watch
	1.64	3.2	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.66)	3.24 ↓ (3.39)	5.9 ↑ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spartak Pleven
56.5%

Draw
28.1%

Lovech
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

26.3%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

23.2%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spartak Pleven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Lovech has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Pleven than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Spartak Pleven that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lovech than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lovech could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Spartak Pleven - Lovech Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
86. Antonov S. (G) 24. Antonov P. 8. Chernakov R. 22. Georgiev P. 6. Ivanov V. 3. James S. 21. Kalchev D. 19. Pehlivanov Y. 11. Petkov H. 10. Shopov V. 5. Varbanov I. (C)	12. Nedelchev I. (G) 9. Dimitrov G. 24. Dimitrov T. 8. Ignatov E. 16. Ivanov I. (C) 7. Kasov Y. 14. Lozanov Y. 19. Nankov V. 6. Stefkov B. 26. Valkov K. 5. Yankov N.
Substitutes
7. Al Badarin M. 16. Bakalski I. 4. David I. 20. Georgiev T. 9. Nikolaev I. 66. Petkov S. 30. Stefanov D. (G) 26. Stoyanov D. 18. Tairov M.	10. Banev M. 22. Georgiev D. 21. Ivanov S. 33. Karamishev T. 18. Kepov P. 99. Simeonov S. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', 🟨,
33', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', 🟨,
64', 🟨,
66', 1 - 0, ⚽,
71', 🟨,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 16).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Spartak Pleven won 3.

Spartak Pleven is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lovech has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Spartak Pleven could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Spartak Pleven is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Spartak Pleven won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:4 (average 1:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Spartak Pleven won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:1 (average 2.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PFC Spartak Pleven
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
05.12.24	Dunav Ruse - Spartak Pleven	3:1 ✺
30.11.24	CSKA 1948 Sofia II - Spartak Pleven	2:0 ✺
23.11.24	Spartak Pleven - Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	2:2 ✺
16.11.24	Marek Dupnitsa - Spartak Pleven	3:0 ✺
10.11.24	Spartak Pleven - Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLTLW
- FC Lovech
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
04.12.24	Lovech - CSKA Sofia II	1:2 ✺
30.11.24	Lovech - Fratria	0:2 ✺
23.11.24	Sportist Svoge - Lovech	0:0 ✺
16.11.24	Lovech - Dobrudzha Dobrich	0:1 ✺
09.11.24	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Lovech	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
27.07.24	Lovech - Spartak Pleven	0:1
15.03.24	Lovech - Spartak Pleven	0:0
01.09.23	Spartak Pleven - Lovech	4:1
30.05.23	Lovech - Spartak Pleven	3:0
04.11.22	Spartak Pleven - Lovech	1:0
31.10.19	Lovech - Spartak Pleven	0:0

Spartak Pleven - Lovech: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide