Match Info

Vtora liga - Round 33

Date: 15 May 2026, Friday

Location: Gradski stadion (Nesebar)


	Chernomorets Burgas		Sportist Svoge

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.7	4.95
	1.59	3.65	4.6
	1.53	3.95	5.59	Watch
	1.54	3.7	5.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.84)	3.75 ↓ (3.98)	5.16 ↑ (3.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chernomorets Burgas
58.3%

Draw
24.1%

Sportist Svoge
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

23.1%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

22.3%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chernomorets Burgas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chernomorets Burgas's performance.

Sportist Svoge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sportist Svoge might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chernomorets Burgas than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chernomorets Burgas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportist Svoge than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sportist Svoge could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
78. Altanov D. (G) 4. Avramov D. 13. Correia 11. Dobrev K. 3. Drame Y. 10. Kostadinov D. 27. Mitev H. 9. Petkov Z. 96. Sadetinov D. 22. Stefanov S. 30. Zhelyazkov N.	1. Zlatinov N. (G) 19. Balakov M. 23. Bua 87. Georgiev I. 16. Georgiev S. 18. Gogov V. 8. Ivanov K. 99. Mitsis C. 73. Monteiro K. 88. Samba L. 11. Yuri Sousa

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', 1 - 0, ⚽,
89', 🟨,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - Gradski stadion.

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 and 14).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Chernomorets Burgas is a strong favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Chernomorets Burgas won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Chernomorets Burgas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Chernomorets 1919	11	6	3	2	18:8	10	21
16	Svoge	11	2	4	5	7:10	-3	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chernomorets Burgas
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
11.05.26	Marek Dupnitsa - Chernomorets Burgas	3:0 ✺
03.05.26	Chernomorets Burgas - Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	1:1 ✺
27.04.26	Hebar Pazardzhik - Chernomorets Burgas	1:3 ✺
16.04.26	Chernomorets Burgas - Ludogorets II	0:0 ✺
09.04.26	Chernomorets Burgas - Pirin Blagoevgrad	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LTWTW
- Sportist Svoge
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
11.05.26	Sportist Svoge - Pirin Blagoevgrad	2:0 ✺
02.05.26	Belasitsa Petrich - Sportist Svoge	3:0 ✺
26.04.26	Sportist Svoge - Dunav Ruse	3:2 ✺
16.04.26	Vihren Sandanski - Sportist Svoge	4:1 ✺
10.04.26	Sportist Svoge - CSKA Sofia II	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
16.11.25	Sportist Svoge - Chernomorets Burgas	0:1
18.05.24	Sportist Svoge - Chernomorets Burgas	1:0
03.11.23	Chernomorets Burgas - Sportist Svoge	1:2

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