Match Info

Vtora liga - Round 12

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadion Chavdar Tsvetkov (Svoge) 🌤️ ...


	Sportist Svoge		Hebar Pazardzhik

	1	X	2
	3.10	3.05	2.12
	3.19	3.12	2.09
	2.75	3.07	2.51	Watch
	3.15	3.05	2.06
	3.19	3.29	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↑ (2.65)	3.12 ↑ (3.05)	2.19 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportist Svoge
29.5%

Draw
29.1%

Hebar Pazardzhik
41.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.5%

29.1%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

28.6%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportist Svoge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Hebar Pazardzhik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportist Svoge than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hebar Pazardzhik than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Sportist Svoge - Hebar Pazardzhik Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Batola J. 5. Boyanov M. 8. Ivanov K. 20. Ivanov P. 21. Jorson R. 88. Karchev V. 10. Marinov B. 73. Nhaga K. 14. Nzila J. 19. Petrov H. 7. Popov A.	1. Gruev B. (G) 17. Cabo C. 3. Krastev A. 55. Mihaylov M. 7. Pavlov K. 19. Roemer Y. 96. Sadetinov D. 33. Tilev I. 84. Tisovski S. 4. Tsonkov S. 9. Vangelov M.
Substitutes
18. Atanasov K. 99. Bergmann P. 23. Dobrev V. 87. Mitrov P. 9. Shkretov K. 22. Todorov A. 27. Velinov Y. 1. Zlatinov N. (G)	18. Arshev P. 6. Georgiev M. 92. Gergisharov T. 20. Kuzev E. 23. Malinov B. 27. Mazan R. 10. Pepe 99. Yankov M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, ⚽,
26', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
65', 🟨,
67', 🟨,
77', 🟨,
84', 1 - 2, ⚽,
90', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 16th in the Relegation and 11th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Svoge won 3.

Recent results have been tough for Svoge (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Hebar has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Svoge has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:6 (averaging 1.3:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Svoge against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 2:2 goals (averaging 0.7:0.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Hebar	13	6	2	5	29:21	8	20
15	Svoge	13	2	5	6	9:14	-5	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportist Svoge
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
27.09.26	CSKA Sofia II - Sportist Svoge	1:0 ✺
21.09.26	Sportist Svoge - Vihren Sandanski	3:2 ✺
13.09.26	Beroe Stara Zagora - Sportist Svoge	1:0 ✺
07.09.26	Sportist Svoge - Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	0:0 ✺
02.09.26	Rilski Sportist - Sportist Svoge	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWLTL
- Hebar Pazardzhik
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
27.09.26	Hebar Pazardzhik - Dobrudzha Dobrich	1:2 ✺
21.09.26	Montana - Hebar Pazardzhik	0:5 ✺
14.09.26	Hebar Pazardzhik - Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	4:1 ✺
07.09.26	Spartak Pleven - Hebar Pazardzhik	3:2 ✺
01.09.26	Hebar Pazardzhik - Fratria	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
21.01.26	Hebar Pazardzhik - Sportist Svoge	1:2
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
22.11.25	Hebar Pazardzhik - Sportist Svoge	0:3
Bulgarian Cup
14.10.23	Sportist Svoge - Hebar Pazardzhik	0:1
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
05.03.22	Sportist Svoge - Hebar Pazardzhik	1:0
18.08.21	Hebar Pazardzhik - Sportist Svoge	3:1
13.04.21	Sportist Svoge - Hebar Pazardzhik	1:1

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