Match Info

Date: 8 May 2021, Saturday


	Chertanovo		Nizhny Novgorod

	1	X	2
				Watch
	8.5	3.8	1.34
	6.8	3.8	1.41
	9.29	3.97	1.45
	8.5	3.9	1.4
	7.8	4	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.18 ↓ (8.72)	3.89 ↓ (4.08)	1.41 ↑ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chertanovo
11.3%

Draw
23.6%

Nizhny Novgorod
65.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10.5%

22.5%

67%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.3%

78.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chertanovo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Nizhny Novgorod has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chertanovo than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nizhny Novgorod than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nizhny Novgorod could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Chertanovo - Nizhny Novgorod Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Chertanovo is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Nizhny Novgorod is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Nizhny Novgorod is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Chertanovo won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Chertanovo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Chertanovo
Russian FNL
02.05.21	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Chertanovo	1:1 ✺
28.04.21	Chertanovo - Orenburg	2:3 ✺
24.04.21	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Chertanovo	1:1 ✺
17.04.21	Chertanovo - SKA Khabarovsk	0:4 ✺
11.04.21	Chertanovo - Veles Moscow	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 TLTLL
- FC Nizhny Novgorod
Russian FNL
02.05.21	Nizhny Novgorod - Spartak 2 Moscow	4:0 ✺
28.04.21	Nizhny Novgorod - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	1:2 ✺
24.04.21	Orenburg - Nizhny Novgorod	2:1 ✺
17.04.21	Nizhny Novgorod - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	2:0 ✺
11.04.21	SKA Khabarovsk - Nizhny Novgorod	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
11.11.20	Nizhny Novgorod - Chertanovo	3:2
31.08.19	Nizhny Novgorod - Chertanovo	0:0
14.11.18	Chertanovo - Nizhny Novgorod	3:1
04.08.18	Nizhny Novgorod - Chertanovo	2:1

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