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Current Win Probability
Chertanovo 38.5%
Draw 26.9%
Saturn Ramenskoye 34.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40%
24.1%
35.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.9%
23%
34.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chertanovo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
Saturn Ramenskoye has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chertanovo than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saturn Ramenskoye than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Chertanovo - Saturn Ramenskoye Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Pereverzev M. (G) 42. Khomyakov A. 21. Kondrashov D. 27. Mikadze G. 45. Nikiema Y. 2. Polyakov I. 91. Pomalyuk A. 44. Rusyaev I. 17. Semenov S. 11. Svetov Z. 7. Yakimenko M.
13. Rusanov V. (G) 8. Biryukov E. 9. Emelin S. 24. Ivanteev A. 69. Panin Evgenievich V. 15. Sosranov R. 77. Stepin M. 21. Tsechoev O. 42. Ushakhin L. 7. Vazitdinov R. 43. Voytsekhovskiy R.
Substitutes
15. Agafontsev V. 97. Borisov G. 5. Evdachev Z. 52. Gaynullin R. 26. Korbut V. 18. Korunov D. 16. Maniac D. (G) 99. Melnikov M. 1. Nechkin K. (G) 53. Seitov T. 22. Tarasov A.
57. Averkiev V. (G) 5. Loskov G. 32. Matveenkov V. (G) 78. Mozuchin Y. 27. Muromskiy N. 17. Sheludyakov M. 44. Tymonyuk I. 81. Vilgelm V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, Pomalyuk A. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Panin Evgenievich V. ↓, Muromskiy N. ↑,
59', 2 - 0, Mikadze G. ⚽,
61', Muromskiy N. 🟨,
61', Biryukov E. ↓, Loskov G. ↑,
66', Yakimenko M. 🟨,
68', Tsechoev O. 🟨,
71', Tsechoev O. ↓, Tymonyuk I. ↑,
72', Mikadze G. 🟨,
77', Voytsekhovskiy R. ↓, Vilgelm V. ↑,
84', Mikadze G. ↓, Borisov G. ↑,
86', 3 - 0, Borisov G. ⚽,
88', Svetov Z. ↓, Korbut V. ↑,
89', Pomalyuk A. ↓, Melnikov M. ↑,
90', Semenov S. ↓, Seitov T. ↑,
90', Yakimenko M. ↓, Gaynullin R. ↑,
90+2', 4 - 0, Melnikov M. ⚽,
90+3', Gaynullin R. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chertanovo won 2.
Chertanovo has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Saturn's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Chertanovo won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.7:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Chertanovo won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).