Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 7

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday


	Chertsey Town		Malvern Town

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.33	5.25
	1.42	4.25	5.5
	1.45	4.32	5.45
	1.47	4.56	5.82	Watch
	1.41	4.2	5.3
	1.41	4.4	6.07
	1.42	4.3	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.57)	4.34 ↑ (3.98)	5.57 ↑ (4.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chertsey Town
63%

Draw
20.8%

Malvern Town
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.4%

22.7%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60%

21.7%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chertsey Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chertsey Town's performance.

Malvern Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chertsey Town than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malvern Town than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Chertsey Town - Malvern Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, Casey E. ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
52', 2 - 0, Farruch L. ⚽,
65', 3 - 0, Kamara J. ⚽,
67', 4 - 0, Wilson ⚽,
90+5', 5 - 0, Minhas N. ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Chertsey has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Malvern has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Chertsey is a strong favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Chertsey	9	4	2	3	20:15	5	14
22	Malvern Town	9	1	2	6	13:25	-12	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chertsey Town
English FA Cup
07.09.26	Carshalton Athletic - Chertsey Town	1:2 ✺
English Southern League South Division
31.08.26	Hanworth Villa - Chertsey Town	4:1 ✺
29.08.26	Chertsey Town - Frome Town	1:2 ✺
22.08.26	Sholing - Chertsey Town	2:4 ✺
15.08.26	Chertsey Town - Yate Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WLLWT
- Malvern Town
English FA Cup
07.09.26	Redditch United - Malvern Town	4:0 ✺
English Southern League South Division
31.08.26	Malvern Town - Chippenham Town	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Gosport Borough - Malvern Town	4:2 ✺
22.08.26	Malvern Town - Wimborne Town	0:3 ✺
15.08.26	Bracknell Town - Malvern Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLLT

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