Match Info

FA Cup - Qualification - 1/8-finals

Date: 7 September 2026, Monday


	Carshalton Athletic		Chertsey Town

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.40	3.60
	1.90	3.60	3.10
	1.91	3.45	3.30
	2.02	3.70	2.99
	1.79	4.21	3.43	Watch
	1.80	3.75	2.95
	1.91	3.74	3.24	Watch
	2.00	3.65	3.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.81)	3.69 ↑ (3.54)	3.26 ↓ (3.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carshalton Athletic
47.6%

Draw
24.6%

Chertsey Town
27.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.9%

26%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

24.8%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carshalton Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Chertsey Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carshalton Athletic than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carshalton Athletic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chertsey Town than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chertsey Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Carshalton Athletic - Chertsey Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

First leg result: 1-1. Replay (first match was draw).

Carshalton is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Chertsey's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Carshalton is seen as the favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carshalton Athletic
English Isthmian League Premier Division
31.08.26	Three Bridges - Carshalton Athletic	3:2 ✺
29.08.26	Carshalton Athletic - Brentwood Town	2:0 ✺
22.08.26	Stanway Rovers - Carshalton Athletic	1:2 ✺
15.08.26	Carshalton Athletic - Cray Wanderers	2:1 ✺
10.08.26	Carshalton Athletic - Wingate & Finchley	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LWWWW
- Chertsey Town
English Southern League South Division
31.08.26	Hanworth Villa - Chertsey Town	4:1 ✺
29.08.26	Chertsey Town - Frome Town	1:2 ✺
22.08.26	Sholing - Chertsey Town	2:4 ✺
15.08.26	Chertsey Town - Yate Town	1:1 ✺
11.08.26	Chertsey Town - Berkhamsted	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LLWTW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carshalton Athletic
English FA Trophy
24.10.26	Aveley - Carshalton Athletic	✺
- Chertsey Town
English FA Trophy
24.10.26	Takeley - Chertsey Town	✺

Carshalton Athletic - Chertsey Town: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide