Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 6

Date: 31 August 2026, Monday


	Malvern Town		Chippenham Town

	1	X	2
	2.70	3.40	2.15
	2.65	3.35	2.22
	2.39	3.5	2.58
	2.68	3.73	2.33	Watch
	2.35	3.45	2.55
	2.62	3.46	2.26
	2.55	3.45	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↓ (2.98)	3.48 ↑ (3.43)	2.36 ↑ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Malvern Town
35.4%

Draw
26.1%

Chippenham Town
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.1%

26.1%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

26.2%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Malvern Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Malvern Town's performance.

Chippenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chippenham Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Malvern Town than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Malvern Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chippenham Town than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chippenham Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Malvern Town - Chippenham Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Clark H. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
47', 1 - 1, Koszela O. ⚽,
78', 1 - 2, Sady H. ⚽,
87', Haines L. 🟥,

Preview

Malvern has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Chippenham has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Malvern has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Outrights of English Southern League South Division for now

Malvern Town: 0.39%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
20	Chippenham	8	2	1	5	7:16	-9	7
22	Malvern Town	9	1	2	6	13:25	-12	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Malvern Town
English Southern League South Division
29.08.26	Gosport Borough - Malvern Town	4:2 ✺
22.08.26	Malvern Town - Wimborne Town	0:3 ✺
15.08.26	Bracknell Town - Malvern Town	0:0 ✺
11.08.26	Taunton Town - Malvern Town	5:2 ✺
Club Friendly
10.07.26	Worcester City - Malvern Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLTLT
- Chippenham Town
English Southern League South Division
29.08.26	Chippenham Town - Berkhamsted	1:2 ✺
22.08.26	Chichester City - Chippenham Town	4:0 ✺
15.08.26	Chippenham Town - Plymouth Parkway	3:2 ✺
11.08.26	Chippenham Town - Yate Town	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
14.07.26	Swindon Town - Chippenham Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 47.9 LLWTW

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