Match Info

National League South - Round 5

Date: 25 August 2025, Monday

Location: The Meadow (Chesham)


	Chesham United		Hampton & Richmond Borough

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.7	4.4
	1.7	3.7	4.35
	1.73	3.78	4.49
	1.26	5.75	9.06	Watch
	1.7	3.6	4.6
	1.71	3.68	4.45
	1.62	4.2	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 (1.62)	4.06 ↓ (4.2)	5.09 ↑ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chesham United
58.2%

Draw
23.2%

Hampton & Richmond Borough
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.6%

21.8%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2%

20.8%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chesham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Hampton & Richmond Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesham United than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hampton & Richmond Borough than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Chesham United - Hampton & Richmond Borough Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Chesham (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Weiss M. ⚽,
45+2', 1 - 1, Rodari D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+4', 1 - 2, Grego-Cox R. ⚽,

Preview

Chesham is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Hampton & Richmond has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Chesham is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Chesham will win today's game, with odds of 1.64.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Chesham won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2.7:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Chesham won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Chesham United - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 56.6%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chesham United
English National League South
23.08.25	Tonbridge Angels - Chesham United	0:0 ✺
19.08.25	Chesham United - Horsham	0:0 ✺
16.08.25	Chesham United - Farnborough	3:2 ✺
09.08.25	Maidenhead United - Chesham United	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
29.07.25	Chesham United - Billericay Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 TTWWW
- Hampton & Richmond Borough
English National League South
23.08.25	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Dagenham & Redbridge	2:1 ✺
19.08.25	Maidstone United - Hampton & Richmond Borough	2:0 ✺
16.08.25	Dorking Wanderers - Hampton & Richmond Borough	0:3 ✺
09.08.25	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Salisbury	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Sutton United	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
25.02.25	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Chesham United	0:1
26.11.24	Chesham United - Hampton & Richmond Borough	2:1
Club Friendly
16.07.19	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Chesham United	1:5

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