Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 37

Date: 29 March 2024, Friday


	Chesham United		Hayes & Yeading United

	1	X	2
	1.34	4.75	6.5
	1.36	4.75	6.5
	1.35	5.42	6.55
	1.35	5.42	6.55
	1.34	4.8	7.02
	1.36	4.75	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.53)	4.98 ↑ (4.18)	6.6 ↑ (4.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chesham United
67.8%

Draw
18.4%

Hayes & Yeading United
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.3%

21.7%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

21%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chesham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chesham United's performance.

Hayes & Yeading United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hayes & Yeading United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chesham United than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chesham United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hayes & Yeading United than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
68', 1 - 0, Harding J. ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South and 17).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Chesham won 3.

Recent matches Chesham is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hayes & Yeading is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Chesham could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Hayes & Yeading have a series of home games.

In this match Chesham is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Chesham won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 21-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Chesham won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chesham United
English Southern League South Division
23.03.24	Basingstoke Town - Chesham United	1:1 ✺
16.03.24	Chesham United - Totton	2:0 ✺
09.03.24	Salisbury - Chesham United	3:1 ✺
02.03.24	Hendon - Chesham United	0:1 ✺
27.02.24	Chesham United - Hanwell Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TWLWT
- Hayes & Yeading United
English Southern League South Division
23.03.24	Hayes & Yeading United - Swindon Supermarine	2:2 ✺
09.03.24	Hayes & Yeading United - Gosport Borough	0:3 ✺
24.02.24	Merthyr Town - Hayes & Yeading United	1:1 ✺
17.02.24	Hayes & Yeading United - Totton	0:1 ✺
13.02.24	Hayes & Yeading United - Didcot Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
15.08.23	Hayes & Yeading United - Chesham United	1:2
10.04.23	Hayes & Yeading United - Chesham United	0:3
26.12.22	Chesham United - Hayes & Yeading United	0:3
18.04.22	Hayes & Yeading United - Chesham United	2:0
01.01.22	Chesham United - Hayes & Yeading United	2:1
27.10.20	Hayes & Yeading United - Chesham United	2:2
17.09.19	Chesham United - Hayes & Yeading United	3:2

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