Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 33

Date: 24 February 2024, Saturday


	Merthyr Town		Hayes & Yeading United

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.9	3.75
	1.68	4	4
	1.75	4.18	3.71
	1.71	3.92	3.9
	1.68	4	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.57)	4 ↓ (4.1)	3.87 ↓ (4.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Merthyr Town
53.6%

Draw
22.8%

Hayes & Yeading United
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.1%

22.2%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

22.2%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Merthyr Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Hayes & Yeading United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merthyr Town than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hayes & Yeading United than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Merthyr won 0.

Merthyr is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Hayes & Yeading is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Merthyr could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Merthyr is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Merthyr won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 15-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Merthyr won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Merthyr Town
English Southern League South Division
10.02.24	Merthyr Town - Bracknell Town	2:3 ✺
06.02.24	Chesham United - Merthyr Town	2:1 ✺
03.02.24	Gosport Borough - Merthyr Town	2:1 ✺
27.01.24	Merthyr Town - Didcot Town	4:0 ✺
20.01.24	Dorchester Town - Merthyr Town	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLWL
- Hayes & Yeading United
English Southern League South Division
17.02.24	Hayes & Yeading United - Totton	0:1 ✺
13.02.24	Hayes & Yeading United - Didcot Town	1:2 ✺
10.02.24	Beaconsfield Town - Hayes & Yeading United	2:3 ✺
06.02.24	Poole Town - Hayes & Yeading United	0:2 ✺
03.02.24	Hayes & Yeading United - Hungerford Town	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
21.10.23	Hayes & Yeading United - Merthyr Town	1:1
22.04.23	Merthyr Town - Hayes & Yeading United	1:3
28.02.23	Hayes & Yeading United - Merthyr Town	3:2
11.12.21	Merthyr Town - Hayes & Yeading United	0:5
23.11.21	Hayes & Yeading United - Merthyr Town	3:0
28.01.20	Merthyr Town - Hayes & Yeading United	1:2
English Southern Premier League
22.04.17	Merthyr Town - Hayes & Yeading United	4:0

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