Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 28

Date: 27 February 2024, Tuesday


	Chesham United		Hanwell Town

	1	X	2
	1.41	4.5	5.5
	1.4	4.5	6
	1.4	4.21	5.7
	1.43	5.31	5.53
	1.4	4.45	6.35
	1.4	4.5	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.55)	4.58 ↑ (4.15)	5.85 ↑ (4.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chesham United
64.6%

Draw
19.8%

Hanwell Town
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.8%

22%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.8%

20.9%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chesham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chesham United's performance.

Hanwell Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chesham United than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hanwell Town than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Chesham United - Hanwell Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South and 15).

Chesham in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Hanwell Town is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Chesham is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Chesham to win the game is with odds 1.55.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Chesham won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Chesham won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chesham United
English Southern League South Division
24.02.24	Chesham United - Poole Town	3:1 ✺
17.02.24	Sholing - Chesham United	0:1 ✺
10.02.24	Chesham United - Swindon Supermarine	4:0 ✺
06.02.24	Chesham United - Merthyr Town	2:1 ✺
03.02.24	Winchester City - Chesham United	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWWW
- Hanwell Town
English Southern League South Division
24.02.24	Hanwell Town - Swindon Supermarine	1:2 ✺
17.02.24	Winchester City - Hanwell Town	1:1 ✺
06.02.24	Hanwell Town - Dorchester Town	1:1 ✺
03.02.24	Poole Town - Hanwell Town	0:3 ✺
27.01.24	Hanwell Town - Hendon	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 LTTWT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
05.09.23	Hanwell Town - Chesham United	0:3
11.03.23	Chesham United - Hanwell Town	2:2
16.08.22	Hanwell Town - Chesham United	2:0

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