Match Info

Date: 29 August 2022, Monday


	Chesham United		North Leigh

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.5	5.5
	1.4	4.6	5.6
	1.45	5.09	5.79
	1.38	4.75	6.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.59)	4.74 ↑ (4.4)	5.8 ↑ (4.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chesham United
64.9%

Draw
19.3%

North Leigh
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

20.6%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60%

19.6%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chesham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chesham United's performance.

North Leigh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and North Leigh might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chesham United than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Leigh than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that North Leigh could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Chesham United - North Leigh Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Chesham is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

North Leigh is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Chesham is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Chesham won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Chesham won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chesham United
English Southern League South Division
27.08.22	Bracknell Town - Chesham United	0:3 ✺
20.08.22	Chesham United - Gosport Borough	2:1 ✺
16.08.22	Hanwell Town - Chesham United	2:0 ✺
13.08.22	Chesham United - Hartley Wintney	1:0 ✺
06.08.22	Plymouth Parkway - Chesham United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WWLWT
- North Leigh
English Southern League South Division
27.08.22	North Leigh - Yate Town	3:3 ✺
20.08.22	Hendon - North Leigh	0:2 ✺
16.08.22	North Leigh - Winchester City	2:4 ✺
13.08.22	North Leigh - Metropolitan Police	0:2 ✺
06.08.22	Dorchester Town - North Leigh	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
10.10.15	Chesham United - North Leigh	2:0

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