Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 18

Date: 18 November 2023, Saturday


	Chesham United		Gosport Borough

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.7	3.3
	1.85	3.75	3.4
	1.83	4.09	3.45
	1.83	4.09	3.45
	2	3.75	2.88
	1.81	3.74	3.54
	1.85	3.75	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2.02)	3.84 ↑ (3.75)	3.35 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chesham United
49.1%

Draw
23.7%

Gosport Borough
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

24.2%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

24.7%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chesham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Gosport Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chesham United than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gosport Borough than the current prediction. (+3%)

Chesham United - Gosport Borough Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League South Division (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League South Division (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Chesham won 3.

Chesham is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Gosport is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gosport could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Chesham will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Chesham won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 22-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Chesham won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chesham United
English Southern League South Division
11.11.23	Bracknell Town - Chesham United	4:0 ✺
07.11.23	Swindon Supermarine - Chesham United	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
04.11.23	Chesham United - Maidstone United	0:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
28.10.23	Cray Wanderers - Chesham United	4:3 penalties ✺
English Southern League South Division
24.10.23	Chesham United - Hendon	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLLW
- Gosport Borough
English Southern League South Division
11.11.23	Gosport Borough - Hendon	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
30.10.23	Bognor Regis Town - Gosport Borough	3:0 ✺
English Southern League South Division
24.10.23	Beaconsfield Town - Gosport Borough	1:2 ✺
21.10.23	Gosport Borough - Tiverton Town	2:1 ✺
14.10.23	Salisbury - Gosport Borough	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
19.11.22	Gosport Borough - Chesham United	2:3
20.08.22	Chesham United - Gosport Borough	2:1
16.04.22	Chesham United - Gosport Borough	4:2
28.08.21	Gosport Borough - Chesham United	3:0
19.09.20	Chesham United - Gosport Borough	0:0
22.02.20	Chesham United - Gosport Borough	3:0
12.10.19	Gosport Borough - Chesham United	2:1

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