Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 17

Date: 11 November 2023, Saturday


	Bracknell Town		Chesham United

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.7	2.7
	2.13	3.87	2.88
	2.14	3.87	2.89
	2.1	3.64	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.93)	3.77 ↑ (3.75)	2.83 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bracknell Town
43.3%

Draw
24.3%

Chesham United
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

24.2%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

23.6%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bracknell Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bracknell Town's performance.

Chesham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chesham United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bracknell Town than the current prediction. (-11.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bracknell Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesham United than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chesham United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bracknell Town - Chesham United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League South Division (Play Offs: )).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Chesham could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Bracknell will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bracknell won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Bracknell won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bracknell Town
English FA Trophy
07.11.23	Poole Town - Bracknell Town	2:3 penalties ✺
English FA Cup
04.11.23	Cambridge United - Bracknell Town	2:1 ✺
English Southern League South Division
24.10.23	Harrow Borough - Bracknell Town	1:4 ✺
21.10.23	Bracknell Town - Totton	1:5 ✺
17.10.23	Bracknell Town - Basingstoke Town	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WLWLW
- Chesham United
English Southern League South Division
07.11.23	Swindon Supermarine - Chesham United	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
04.11.23	Chesham United - Maidstone United	0:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
28.10.23	Cray Wanderers - Chesham United	4:3 penalties ✺
English Southern League South Division
24.10.23	Chesham United - Hendon	2:1 ✺
21.10.23	Poole Town - Chesham United	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
26.04.23	Bracknell Town - Chesham United	1:0
07.01.23	Chesham United - Bracknell Town	2:1
English FA Cup
20.09.22	Bracknell Town - Chesham United	3:0
16.09.22	Chesham United - Bracknell Town	2:2
English Southern League South Division
27.08.22	Bracknell Town - Chesham United	0:3

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